Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
3 – 1
Full Time
Thu 14 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK — Europe at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
03 Dec NEC A 2–1 W
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
30 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
09 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
26 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AFC Ajax launch into their encounter with PAE AEK.
  • 5' Assisted by Kristian Hlynsson with the perfectly-timed delivery and Chuba Akpom makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 8' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brian Brobbey.
  • 10' Borna Sosa was booked on 10.
  • 11' What composure from Levi Garcia! The Trinidad & Tobago international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 15' Nordin Amrabat catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 15.
  • 20' Kenneth Taylor does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Forbs made 489 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Iran international Ehsan Hajsafi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' Domagoj Vida was booked on 35.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' Harold Moukoudi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' The whistle greets Brian Brobbey as he departs to be replaced by Ar'jany Martha.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Harold Moukoudi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PAE AEK.
  • 54' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chuba Akpom makes it 3-1.
  • 61' Rodolfo Pizarro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nordin Amrabat at the 61 minute mark.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Anton Gaaei. He replaces Carlos Forbs on 62 minute.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Tristan Gooijer comes on to replace Devyne Rensch.
  • 76' Josip Sutalo was booked on 76.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diant Ramaj, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 83' The PAE AEK manager makes a substitution. Levi Garcia departs to be replaced by Jens Jonsson.
  • 86' AFC Ajax make a change. Kristian Hlynsson trudges off to be replaced by Georges Mikautadze on 86 minutes.
  • 90' It is a substitution in PAE AEK team. Damian Szymanski is replaced by Milad Mohammadi on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — AFC Ajax 3-1 PAE AEK. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAE AEK17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAE AEK
39%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax42% Draw42% PAE AEK16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.