Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
3 – 1
Full Time
Thu 14 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK — Europe at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 20.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
03 Dec NEC A 2–1 W
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
30 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
09 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
26 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Johan Cruijff Arena as AFC Ajax face off against PAE AEK in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' GOAL! Chuba Akpom fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 8' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Brian Brobbey gets a card.
  • 10' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 11' Levi Garcia doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Nordin Amrabat on 15 minutes earns him a card. PAE AEK will be frustrated.
  • 20' A stunning finish from Kenneth Taylor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PAE AEK that had 128 games and scored 47 goals.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Petros Mantalos, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Domagoj Vida on 35 minutes earns him a card. PAE AEK will be frustrated.
  • 40' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Harold Moukoudi was booked on 45.
  • 46' Ar'jany Martha is replacing Brian Brobbey for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konstantinos Galanopoulos made 128 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Chuba Akpom adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' Rodolfo Pizarro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nordin Amrabat at the 61 minute mark.
  • 62' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Carlos Forbs is replaced by Anton Gaaei on 62 minute.
  • 67' Domagoj Vida needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' AFC Ajax make a change. Devyne Rensch trudges off to be replaced by Tristan Gooijer on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Josip Sutalo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 83' Jens Jonsson gets the nod from PAE AEK. He replaces Levi Garcia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' AFC Ajax make a change. Kristian Hlynsson trudges off to be replaced by Georges Mikautadze on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Time for substitution for PAE AEK. Damian Szymanski is replaced by Milad Mohammadi.
  • PAE AEK will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAE AEK17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAE AEK
39%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax42% Draw42% PAE AEK16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.