AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Craig Pawson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | PAE AEK | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | RKC Waalwijk | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Nov | SBV Vitesse | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. PAE AEK kicks off things out of here…
- 5' What a strike from Chuba Akpom! The score is 1-0.
- 8' Brian Brobbey is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
- 10' Borna Sosa is having his name booked by the referee on 10.
- 11' What an equalizer from Levi Garcia!
- 15' PAE AEK receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 20' Kenneth Taylor puts AFC Ajax on the lead.
- 25' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' It’s a booking for PAE AEK player. Domagoj Vida gets a card.
- 40' PAE AEK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Harold Moukoudi.
- 46' Ar'jany Martha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Brobbey on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nordin Amrabat suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
- 56' GOAL! Chuba Akpom scores on 56. Assisted by Ar'jany Martha
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Rodolfo Pizarro. He replaces Nordin Amrabat on 61 minute.
- 62' The whistle greets Carlos Forbs as he departs to be replaced by Anton Gaaei.
- 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlos Forbs, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 74' Tristan Gooijer is replacing Devyne Rensch for the AFC Ajax side.
- 76' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Devyne Rensch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 83' Time for substitution for PAE AEK. Levi Garcia is replaced by Jens Jonsson.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Georges Mikautadze. He replaces Kristian Hlynsson on 86 minute.
- 90' Milad Mohammadi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Damian Szymanski on 90 minute.
- Another three points for AFC Ajax.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 40
- 37
- 8
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↓ Tristan Gooijer 74'
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Ar'jany Martha 46'
- 33
- 4
- 38
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↓ Anton Gaaei 62'
Bench
- 1
- 18
- 30
-
19
Georges Mikautadze ↑ 86'
- 17
- 49
-
3
Anton Gaaei ↑ 62'
-
47
Tristan Gooijer ↑ 74'
-
42
Ar'jany Martha ↑ 46'
- 53
Coach
John van 't Schip
PAE AEK Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 2
- 10
- 21
- 4
- 28
- 20
-
7
Levi Garcia ↓ Jens Jonsson 83'
- 12
- 30
- 5
Bench
- 29
-
3
Milad Mohammadi ↑ 90'
-
70
Rodolfo Pizarro ↑ 61'
-
6
Jens Jonsson ↑ 83'
- 99
- 24
- 25
Coach
Matias Almeyda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Donny van de Beek | 1 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 1 |
| Domagoj Vida | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
PAE AEK xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAE AEK
39%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PAE AEK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.