Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
3 1
Full Time
Thu 14 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
03 Dec NEC A 2–1 W
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
30 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–1 L
09 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
26 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Assisted by Kristian Hlynsson with the perfectly-timed delivery and Chuba Akpom makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 8' Controversy at the stadium! Brian Brobbey argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 10' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 10.
  • 11' What an equalizer from Levi Garcia!
  • 15' Nordin Amrabat picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 20' The deadlock is broken! Kenneth Taylor gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Domagoj Vida picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' It’s a booking for PAE AEK player. Harold Moukoudi gets a card.
  • 46' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Brian Brobbey departs to be replaced by Ar'jany Martha.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Matias Almeyda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jorrel Hato on 54 minutes.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Chuba Akpom gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 61' It is a substitution in PAE AEK team. Nordin Amrabat is replaced by Rodolfo Pizarro on 61 minute.
  • 62' Anton Gaaei has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Forbs on 62 minute.
  • 67' Ehsan Hajsafi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 10 appearances.
  • 72' Harold Moukoudi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Tristan Gooijer. He replaces Devyne Rensch on 74 minute.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josip Sutalo on 76 minutes.
  • 81' PAE AEK is showing some good football. However, PAE AEK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' PAE AEK make a change. Levi Garcia trudges off to be replaced by Jens Jonsson on 83 minutes.
  • 86' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 86 minute. Kristian Hlynsson leaves to be changed by Georges Mikautadze.
  • 90' Milad Mohammadi is replacing Damian Szymanski for the PAE AEK side.
  • Full Time. AFC Ajax beats PAE AEK

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax61% Draw22% PAE AEK17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAE AEK
39%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax42% Draw42% PAE AEK16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.