AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Craig Pawson
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 20.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | PAE AEK | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | RKC Waalwijk | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Nov | SBV Vitesse | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Johan Cruijff Arena as AFC Ajax face off against PAE AEK in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' GOAL! Chuba Akpom fires home to make it 1-0!
- 8' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Brian Brobbey gets a card.
- 10' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
- 11' Levi Garcia doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 15' A moment of madness from Nordin Amrabat on 15 minutes earns him a card. PAE AEK will be frustrated.
- 20' A stunning finish from Kenneth Taylor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PAE AEK that had 128 games and scored 47 goals.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Petros Mantalos, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' A moment of madness from Domagoj Vida on 35 minutes earns him a card. PAE AEK will be frustrated.
- 40' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' Harold Moukoudi was booked on 45.
- 46' Ar'jany Martha is replacing Brian Brobbey for the AFC Ajax side.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konstantinos Galanopoulos made 128 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' Chuba Akpom adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 61' Rodolfo Pizarro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nordin Amrabat at the 61 minute mark.
- 62' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Carlos Forbs is replaced by Anton Gaaei on 62 minute.
- 67' Domagoj Vida needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 74' AFC Ajax make a change. Devyne Rensch trudges off to be replaced by Tristan Gooijer on 74 minutes.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Josip Sutalo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 83' Jens Jonsson gets the nod from PAE AEK. He replaces Levi Garcia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' AFC Ajax make a change. Kristian Hlynsson trudges off to be replaced by Georges Mikautadze on 86 minutes.
- 90' Time for substitution for PAE AEK. Damian Szymanski is replaced by Milad Mohammadi.
- PAE AEK will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 40
- 37
- 8
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↓ Tristan Gooijer 74'
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Ar'jany Martha 46'
- 33
- 4
- 38
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↓ Anton Gaaei 62'
Bench
- 1
- 18
- 30
-
19
Georges Mikautadze ↑ 86'
- 17
- 49
-
3
Anton Gaaei ↑ 62'
-
47
Tristan Gooijer ↑ 74'
-
42
Ar'jany Martha ↑ 46'
- 53
Coach
John van 't Schip
PAE AEK Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 2
- 10
- 21
- 4
- 28
- 20
-
7
Levi Garcia ↓ Jens Jonsson 83'
- 12
- 30
- 5
Bench
- 29
-
3
Milad Mohammadi ↑ 90'
-
70
Rodolfo Pizarro ↑ 61'
-
6
Jens Jonsson ↑ 83'
- 99
- 24
- 25
Coach
Matias Almeyda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Donny van de Beek | 1 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 1 |
| Domagoj Vida | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
PAE AEK xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or PAE AEK
39%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PAE AEK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

