Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 2 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 19,088 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moise Kean 9' 1–0
Albert Gudmundsson 30' 2–0
2–1 55' Koni De Winter

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFCSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 2.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Genoa CFC H 2–1 W
26 Jan SS Lazio A 2–1 W
19 Jan Torino FC H 1–1 D
13 Jan AC Monza A 1–2 L
04 Jan SSC Napoli H 0–3 L
29 Dec Juventus FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
27 Jan AC Monza H 2–0 W
17 Jan AS Roma A 1–3 L
12 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–0 W
05 Jan US Lecce A 0–0 D
28 Dec Empoli FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Genoa CFC
#15 Position #16
42 Points 41
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 11 / 17
41 Scored 41
50 Conceded 51
-9 GD -10
1.11 PPG 1.08
24% Win % 26%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 9' Moise Kean does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 14' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. David De Gea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Beltran on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Genoa CFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Albert Gudmundsson does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 35' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Genoa CFC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Genoa CFC is showing some good football. However, Genoa CFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vitinha is hanging Maxwel Cornet on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' Michael Folorunsho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 48.
  • 53' The travelling Genoa CFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' A stunning finish from Koni De Winter — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Amir Richardson is withdrawn and Pietro Comuzzo gets his opportunity.
  • 61' ACF Fiorentina have won 420 goals from 456 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Genoa CFCJunior Messias on, Fabio Miretti off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Fabiano Parisi gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Lucas Beltran and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pietro Comuzzo on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Koni De Winter catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 82' Jeff Ekhator gets the nod from Genoa CFC. He replaces Stefano Sabelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Genoa CFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The points are shared — ACF Fiorentina 2-1 Genoa CFC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina53% Draw25% Genoa CFC22%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
78%
Draw or Genoa CFC
47%
ACF Fiorentina or Genoa CFC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina36% Draw45% Genoa CFC19%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Genoa CFC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
35%
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.