Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 28 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 12,657 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 46' Milan Badelj
0–2 68' Caleb Ekuban

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs Genoa CFCSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
  • Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Genoa CFC H 1–2 L
22 Dec Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
13 Dec Torino FC H 0–1 L
08 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 4–1 W
30 Nov AC Milan A 0–3 L
25 Nov Udinese Calcio H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Empoli FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
15 Dec AC Milan A 0–0 D
07 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
01 Dec Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
24 Nov Cagliari Calcio H 2–2 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio Carlo Castellani. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Giuseppe Pezzella has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Alessandro Zanoli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morten Thorsby made 369 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Genoa CFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stefano Sabelli is hanging Brooke Norton-Cuffy on the field on 39 minute.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Milan Badelj puts Genoa CFC on the lead.
  • 51' Genoa CFC is showing some good football. However, Genoa CFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Devis Vasquez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Jacopo Fazzini. He replaces Liam Henderson on 60 minute.
  • 63' The whistle greets Andrea Pinamonti as he departs to be replaced by Caleb Ekuban.
  • 66' Genoa CFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' GOAL! Caleb Ekuban scores on 68. Assisted by Fabio Miretti
  • 71' Another change for Empoli FC made on 71 minute. Alberto Grassi leaves to be changed by Youssef Maleh.
  • 74' What a strike from Sebastiano Esposito! The score is 1-2.
  • 79' Vitinha was booked on 79.
  • 80' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Faustino Anjorin departs to be replaced by Luca Marianucci.
  • 81' Emmanuel Gyasi is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
  • 82' The Genoa CFC manager makes a substitution. Morten Thorsby departs to be replaced by Koni De Winter.
  • 87' Genoa CFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Empoli FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for: Genoa CFC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC30% Draw31% Genoa CFC39%
Actual: Genoa CFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Genoa CFC
70%
Empoli FC or Genoa CFC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC21% Draw53% Genoa CFC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push Genoa CFC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.