US Lecce vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
- Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
- Assistant 2 Domenico Fontemurato
10 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #16 |
| 38 | Points | 41 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 17 |
| 28 | Scored | 41 |
| 50 | Conceded | 51 |
| -22 | GD | -10 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 26% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. US Lecce get us underway at Stadio Via del Mare.
- 5' Genoa CFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' It looks surprising Genoa CFC does not make any changes. Morten Thorsby has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' US Lecce are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Genoa CFC backline.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Frederic Guilbert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tete Morente made 236 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Genoa CFC's 4-1-4-1 shape.
- 46' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 46 minute. Fabio Miretti leaves to be changed by Jeff Ekhator.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicola Leali is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
- 56' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Patrick Vieira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 64' Time for substitution for Genoa CFC. Milan Badelj is replaced by Lior Kasa.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Koni De Winter, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Via del Mare with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 70' Alessandro Zanoli is replacing Vitinha for the Genoa CFC side.
- 73' The whistle greets Hamza Rafia as he departs to be replaced by THorir Johann Helgason.
- 78' US Lecce currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 83' The 27-year-old Andrea Pinamonti has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 84' Jesper Karlsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tete Morente at the 84 minute mark.
- 88' Time for substitution for Genoa CFC. Morten Thorsby is replaced by Patrizio Masini.
- 90' Lior Kasa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
- 25
- 29
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Jesper Karlsson 84'
-
9
Nikola Krstovic ↓ Ante Rebic 84'
- 30
- 8
- 75
- 19
- 6
- 13
Bench
- 10
- 1
-
3
Ante Rebic ↑ 84'
- 21
-
14
THorir Johann Helgason ↑ 73'
- 36
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 73'
-
37
Jesper Karlsson ↑ 84'
- 20
- 98
- 77
- 27
- 32
- 23
- 40
Coach
Marco Giampaolo
Genoa CFC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
-
47
Milan Badelj ↓ Lior Kasa 64'
- 13
- 19
- 32
- 22
- 4
-
23
Fabio Miretti ↓ Jeff Ekhator 46'
-
9
Vitinha ↓ Alessandro Zanoli 70'
Bench
- 11
- 45
- 95
- 20
- 72
- 14
- 8
-
59
Alessandro Zanoli ↑ 70'
- 39
- 30
-
53
Lior Kasa ↑ 64'
- 27
-
73
Patrizio Masini ↑ 88'
-
21
Jeff Ekhator ↑ 46'
Coach
Patrick Vieira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Fabio Miretti | 2 |
| Marco Mancosu | 1 |
| Remi Oudin | 1 |
| Caleb Ekuban | 1 |
| Mateo Retegui | 1 |
| Goran Pandev | 1 |
| Domenico Criscito | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for:
Genoa CFC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
63%
Draw or Genoa CFC
70%
US Lecce or Genoa CFC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Genoa CFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

