Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Jan 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 26,436 HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Lior Kasa

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs Genoa CFCSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
  • Assistant 2 Domenico Fontemurato
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SS Lazio H 1–2 L
15 Dec AC Monza H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Roma A 1–4 L
01 Dec Juventus FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan US Lecce A 0–0 D
28 Dec Empoli FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
15 Dec AC Milan A 0–0 D
07 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
01 Dec Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce Genoa CFC
#17 Position #16
38 Points 41
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 10 / 11 / 17
28 Scored 41
50 Conceded 51
-22 GD -10
1.00 PPG 1.08
26% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. US Lecce get us underway at Stadio Via del Mare.
  • 5' Genoa CFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' It looks surprising Genoa CFC does not make any changes. Morten Thorsby has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' US Lecce are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Genoa CFC backline.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Frederic Guilbert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tete Morente made 236 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Genoa CFC's 4-1-4-1 shape.
  • 46' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 46 minute. Fabio Miretti leaves to be changed by Jeff Ekhator.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicola Leali is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
  • 56' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Patrick Vieira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Genoa CFC. Milan Badelj is replaced by Lior Kasa.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Koni De Winter, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Via del Mare with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' Alessandro Zanoli is replacing Vitinha for the Genoa CFC side.
  • 73' The whistle greets Hamza Rafia as he departs to be replaced by THorir Johann Helgason.
  • 78' US Lecce currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 83' The 27-year-old Andrea Pinamonti has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 84' Jesper Karlsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tete Morente at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Genoa CFC. Morten Thorsby is replaced by Patrizio Masini.
  • 90' Lior Kasa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for: Genoa CFC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce30% Draw33% Genoa CFC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
63%
Draw or Genoa CFC
70%
US Lecce or Genoa CFC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce19% Draw55% Genoa CFC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push Genoa CFC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 23% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
34%
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.