ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, 2017

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Serie A 2017/18 · 2017

ACF Fiorentina

1 – 0

Full Time

AC Milan

Sat 6 Jan 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts
AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 2.20

Draw 3.20

AC Milan 3.50

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Milan 2017-08-20 AC Milan 0–0 ACF Fiorentina 2017-02-05 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 AC Milan 2016-09-18 AC Milan 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2016-04-09 AC Milan 0–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–0	W
30 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Frosinone Calcio	H	1–0	W
17 Dec	Empoli FC	A	0–0	D
12 Dec	AC Chievo Verona	H	1–2	L
04 Dec	NEROCA FC	A	1–0	W

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–1	L
30 Dec	SS Lazio	A	1–1	D
23 Dec	Udinese Calcio	H	1–0	W
17 Dec	Atalanta BC	A	1–0	W
10 Dec	Torino FC	H	2–1	W
03 Dec	Empoli FC	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan get this one started.
It finishes all square. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Dusan Vlahovic	3
Erick Pulgar	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Hakan Calhanoglu	2
Alfred Duncan	2
Franck Ribery	2
Theo Hernandez	2

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2018-01-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Milan W 2017-12-30 Parma Calcio 1913 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-12-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Frosinone Calcio W 2017-12-17 Empoli FC 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2017-12-12 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Chievo Verona L 2017-12-04 NEROCA FC 0–1 ACF Fiorentina W

AC Milan Form

2018-01-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Milan L 2017-12-30 SS Lazio 1–1 AC Milan D 2017-12-23 AC Milan 1–0 Udinese Calcio W 2017-12-17 Atalanta BC 0–1 AC Milan W 2017-12-10 AC Milan 2–1 Torino FC W 2017-12-03 Empoli FC 3–0 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.06 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina43% Draw32% AC Milan25%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes38% 0% No62%

Avg goals/match: 1.87

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	82%	18%
± 1.5	56%	44%
± 2.5	29%	71%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

75%

Draw or AC Milan

57%

ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina26% Draw56% AC Milan18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.9%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 1

11%

2 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

6.9%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

2.9%

3 – 0

2.9%

3 – 1

2.5%

1 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	23%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	17%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.