AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Alessandro Costanzo
- Referee Fabio Maresca
- Referee Gianluca Rocchi
- Referee Filippo Meli
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | UC Sampdoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | AC Chievo Verona | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | SPAL 2013 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 8 |
| 4 | Conceded | 3 |
| +6 | GD | +5 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 2.60 |
| 60% | Win % | 80% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
60%
Clean Sheets
SS Lazio this season
SS Lazio this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). SS Lazio are 3rd (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SS Lazio
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
SS Lazio
| Davide Frattesi | 3 G |
| Tijjani Noslin | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SS Lazio kicks off things out of here…
- 5' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SS Lazio's shape.
- 9' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Romulo on 9 minutes.
- 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felipe Caicedo suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fabio Borini, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 29' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 48' Felipe Caicedo gets the nod from SS Lazio. He replaces Joaquin Correa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 53' SS Lazio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 63' The 44-year-old Pepe Reina has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 67' Diego Laxalt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Calabria at the 67 minute mark.
- 68' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Cristian Zapata comes on to replace Alessio Romagnoli.
- 73' SS Lazio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 74' The SS Lazio bench stirs into life. Senad Lulic is withdrawn and Riza Durmisi gets his opportunity.
- 79' What a strike from Franck Kessie! The score is 1-0.
- 81' SS Lazio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marco Parolo is hanging Bastos on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Patrick Cutrone. He replaces Krzysztof Piatek on 84 minute.
- 85' Luis Alberto picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Cristian Zapata has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Diego Laxalt 67'
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
- 8
- 10
- 11
- 25
- 14
- 19
Bench
- 90
- 20
-
17
Cristian Zapata ↑ 68'
- 12
- 21
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 84'
- 33
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 67'
- 16
- 23
- 7
- 35
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
SS Lazio Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Joaquin Correa ↓ Felipe Caicedo 48'
- 1
-
15
Bastos ↓ Marco Parolo 81'
-
19
Senad Lulic C ↓ Riza Durmisi 74'
- 21
- 6
- 3
- 17
- 10
- 33
- 27
Bench
-
14
Riza Durmisi ↑ 74'
- 23
- 13
-
16
Marco Parolo ↑ 81'
- 4
- 66
- 30
-
20
Felipe Caicedo ↑ 48'
- 32
- 24
- 49
Coach
Simone Inzaghi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joaquin Correa | 4 |
| Ciro Immobile | 4 |
| Luis Alberto | 2 |
| Noah Okafor | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
SS Lazio xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + AC Milan or Draw 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
71%
Draw or SS Lazio
62%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SS Lazio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

