AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Alessio Tolfo
- Referee Valentino Fiorito
- Referee Ivan Pezzuto
14 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec | ACF Fiorentina | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Dec | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Dec | PAE Olympiakos SFP | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Dec | Torino FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Dec | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | F91 Diddeleng | H | 5–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec | AC Milan | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Dec | Empoli FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 01 Dec | Juventus FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 70 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -9 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Davide Calabria is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Edimilson Fernandes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' German Pezzella was booked on 32.
- 37' Hakan Calhanoglu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 42' Vitor Hugo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
- 47' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
- 52' Suso is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
- 57' The 31-year-old Marco Benassi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 62.
- 62' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 62 minute. Kevin Mirallas leaves to be changed by Gerson.
- 67' Patrick Cutrone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Mauri on 67 minute.
- 68' AC Milan make a change. Samu Castillejo trudges off to be replaced by Diego Laxalt on 68 minutes.
- 73' What composure from Federico Chiesa! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Federico Chiesa.
- 77' Suso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 77.
- 78' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Alessio Romagnoli gets a Yellow card.
- 83' Andrea Conti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ignazio Abate at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' Vincent Laurini is replacing Marco Benassi for the ACF Fiorentina side.
- 88' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 88 minute. Giovanni Simeone leaves to be changed by Marko Pjaca.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Diego Laxalt.
- It finishes all square. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
-
20
Ignazio Abate ↓ Andrea Conti 83'
- 17
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 8
- 10
-
4
Jose Mauri ↓ Patrick Cutrone 67'
- 9
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↓ Diego Laxalt 68'
Bench
- 90
-
12
Andrea Conti ↑ 83'
- 22
- 18
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 67'
- 96
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 68'
- 25
- 77
- 94
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 31
- 4
- 3
- 25
- 17
-
24
Marco Benassi ↓ Vincent Laurini 87'
-
9
Giovanni Simeone ↓ Marko Pjaca 88'
-
11
Kevin Mirallas ↓ Gerson 62'
- 26
- 1
Bench
- 69
- 15
-
2
Vincent Laurini ↑ 87'
- 7
- 14
- 77
-
8
Gerson ↑ 62'
- 5
-
10
Marko Pjaca ↑ 88'
- 16
- 6
- 28
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
56%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

