Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
Sat 22 Dec 2018 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Alessio Tolfo
  • Referee Valentino Fiorito
  • Referee Ivan Pezzuto
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
18 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
13 Dec PAE Olympiakos SFP A 1–3 L
09 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
02 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
29 Nov F91 Diddeleng H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec AC Milan A 1–0 W
16 Dec Empoli FC H 3–1 W
09 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
01 Dec Juventus FC H 0–3 L
25 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
09 Nov Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #17
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 6
4 Conceded 12
+6 GD -6
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ACF Fiorentina needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Marko Pjaca, a Croatia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jose Mauri, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' German Pezzella is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' ACF Fiorentina receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giovanni Simeone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 62' Gerson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Mirallas on 62 minute.
  • 67' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Jose Mauri by Patrick Cutrone on 67 minute.
  • 68' Another change for AC Milan made on 68 minute. Samu Castillejo leaves to be changed by Diego Laxalt.
  • 73' Goal! Federico Chiesa scores his 54 goal in 458 matches.
  • 74' Federico Chiesa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 74.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Suso.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Alessio Romagnoli on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Andrea Conti is replacing Ignazio Abate for the AC Milan side.
  • 87' The whistle greets Marco Benassi as he departs to be replaced by Vincent Laurini.
  • 88' Giovanni Simeone makes way for Marko Pjaca at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 90' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Diego Laxalt gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. ACF Fiorentina take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.39 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan61% Draw22% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
39%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan52% Draw38% ACF Fiorentina10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
9.9%
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% — 28%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
10% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.