Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
Sat 22 Dec 2018 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Alessio Tolfo
  • Referee Valentino Fiorito
  • Referee Ivan Pezzuto
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
18 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
13 Dec PAE Olympiakos SFP A 1–3 L
09 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
02 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
29 Nov F91 Diddeleng H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec AC Milan A 1–0 W
16 Dec Empoli FC H 3–1 W
09 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
01 Dec Juventus FC H 0–3 L
25 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
09 Nov Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#8 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina has kicked off!
  • 5' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alessio Romagnoli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Davide Calabria has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 38 cards already picked up this season.
  • 32' The referee has no hesitation. German Pezzella is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 32.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Vitor Hugo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 47' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Marco Benassi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 62' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Kevin Mirallas departs to be replaced by Gerson.
  • 67' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Jose Mauri departs to be replaced by Patrick Cutrone.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Samu Castillejo as he leaves the pitch. Diego Laxalt steps in for AC Milan.
  • 73' What a moment for Federico Chiesa! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 74' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Federico Chiesa gets a Yellow card.
  • 77' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Suso will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alessio Romagnoli.
  • 83' AC Milan make a change. Ignazio Abate trudges off to be replaced by Andrea Conti on 83 minutes.
  • 87' Marco Benassi makes way for Vincent Laurini at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 88' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Giovanni Simeone is replaced by Marko Pjaca.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diego Laxalt on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. ACF Fiorentina beats AC Milan

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.48 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.44 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan28% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina26%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes16% 0% No84%
Avg goals/match: 0.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 58%
42%
± 1.5 25%
75%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
72%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
54%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan13% Draw75% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
42.4%
1 – 0
17.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 1
2.4%
1 – 2
2.1%
2 – 2
0.7%
3 – 0
0.6%
0 – 3
0.5%
3 – 1
0.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 20% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 18% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
64%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
62%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.