Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
Sat 22 Dec 2018 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Alessio Tolfo
  • Referee Valentino Fiorito
  • Referee Ivan Pezzuto
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
18 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
13 Dec PAE Olympiakos SFP A 1–3 L
09 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
02 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
29 Nov F91 Diddeleng H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec AC Milan A 1–0 W
16 Dec Empoli FC H 3–1 W
09 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
01 Dec Juventus FC H 0–3 L
25 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
09 Nov Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #15
70 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -9
1.84 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Davide Calabria is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Edimilson Fernandes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' German Pezzella was booked on 32.
  • 37' Hakan Calhanoglu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 42' Vitor Hugo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
  • 47' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
  • 52' Suso is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 57' The 31-year-old Marco Benassi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 62.
  • 62' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 62 minute. Kevin Mirallas leaves to be changed by Gerson.
  • 67' Patrick Cutrone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Mauri on 67 minute.
  • 68' AC Milan make a change. Samu Castillejo trudges off to be replaced by Diego Laxalt on 68 minutes.
  • 73' What composure from Federico Chiesa! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Federico Chiesa.
  • 77' Suso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 77.
  • 78' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Alessio Romagnoli gets a Yellow card.
  • 83' Andrea Conti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ignazio Abate at the 83 minute mark.
  • 87' Vincent Laurini is replacing Marco Benassi for the ACF Fiorentina side.
  • 88' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 88 minute. Giovanni Simeone leaves to be changed by Marko Pjaca.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Diego Laxalt.
  • It finishes all square. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan44% Draw31% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
56%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan32% Draw52% ACF Fiorentina16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.