Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, 2017

Serie A 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 20 Aug 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 2.20
Draw 3.25
ACF Fiorentina 3.50

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug ACF Fiorentina H 0–0 D
28 May Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–5 L
21 May Chennai City FC H 6–2 W
14 May Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W
07 May Empoli FC H 2–2 D
30 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug AC Milan A 0–0 D
28 May SS Lazio A 2–3 L
21 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
14 May FK Ural A 0–1 L
07 May Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
30 Apr UC Sampdoria H 1–2 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw28% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
76%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
53%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan32% Draw50% ACF Fiorentina18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.