Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, Champions League 2022-23 LAST 16

Tue 14 Feb 2023 · 20:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur FC — Champions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Fedayi San
  • Referee Stephane De Almeida
  • Referee Sandro Scharer
  • Referee Bekim Zogaj
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Lukas Faehndrich (Switzerland)

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals Tottenham Hotspur FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
29 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–5 L
24 Jan SS Lazio A 0–4 L
14 Jan US Lecce A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb AC Milan A 0–1 L
11 Feb Leicester City FC A 1–4 L
05 Feb Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
28 Jan Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
23 Jan Fulham FC A 1–0 W
19 Jan Manchester City FC A 2–4 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The travelling Tottenham Hotspur FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 7' Brilliant from the ! Brahim Diaz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 7.
  • 12' It looks surprising Tottenham Hotspur FC does not make any changes. Fraser Forster has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Ivan Perisic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tottenham Hotspur FC tonight.
  • 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oliver Skipp suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' Tottenham Hotspur FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 42' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 47' Tottenham Hotspur FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' Christian Romero picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' It’s high time Antonio Conte made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 63' Eric Dier is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 64' Eric Dier was booked on 64.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 70' Richarlison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dejan Kulusevski on 70 minute.
  • 71' Tottenham Hotspur FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Richarlison is hanging Dejan Kulusevski on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Alexis Saelemaekers is replaced by Junior Messias.
  • 80' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Sandro Tonali gets a Yellow card.
  • 81' Arnaut Danjuma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Son Heungmin on 81 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Tommaso Pobega. He replaces Sandro Tonali on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Rafael Leao is withdrawn and Ante Rebic gets his opportunity.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw29% Tottenham Hotspur FC25%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
75%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
54%
AC Milan or Tottenham Hotspur FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan31% Draw51% Tottenham Hotspur FC18%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.