AC Milan vs Empoli FC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Como 1907 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and Empoli FC get this one started.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Empoli FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 19' What composure from Alvaro Morata! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 24' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' A moment of madness from Matteo Gabbia on 25 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Empoli FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' It’s a booking for Empoli FC player. Lorenzo Colombo gets a card.
- 40' AC Milan currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' The deadlock is broken! Tijjani Reijnders gets on the scoresheet on 44 minutes.
- 46' Another change for Empoli FC made on 46 minute. Giuseppe Pezzella leaves to be changed by Liberato Cacace.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' Giuseppe Pezzella is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yunus Musah on 57.
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 66' It is a substitution in Empoli FC team. Faustino Anjorin is replaced by Sebastiano Esposito on 66 minute.
- 67' Liam Henderson is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 69' Against the run of play, Tijjani Reijnders has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 71' A tactical swap from Empoli FC — Luca Marianucci on, Saba Goglichidze off on 71 minutes.
- 75' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is hanging Youssouf Fofana on the field on 75 minute.
- 76' The crowd applauds Pietro Pellegri as he leaves the pitch. Emmanuel Ekong steps in for Empoli FC.
- 81' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Rafael Leao makes way for Francesco Camarda at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 89' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- It finishes all square. AC Milan and Empoli FC share the spoils 3-0.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Tammy Abraham 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Francesco Camarda 84'
- 11
- 19
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 75'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 81'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 75'
- 23
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 75'
- 2
- 57
-
31
Strahinja Pavlovic ↑ 75'
- 42
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 84'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Empoli FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 9
- 6
- 3
- 34
- 8
- 21
-
29
Lorenzo Colombo ↓ Ola Solbakken 46'
- 93
- 23
- 11
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 7
-
13
Liberato Cacace ↑ 46'
- 16
-
99
Sebastiano Esposito ↑ 66'
-
17
Ola Solbakken ↑ 46'
-
19
Emmanuel Ekong ↑ 76'
- 12
-
35
Luca Marianucci ↑ 71'
- 31
- 90
- 37
- 36
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Francesco Caputo | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Empoli FC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
86%
Draw or Empoli FC
38%
AC Milan or Empoli FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.7%
2 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Empoli FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

