AC Milan vs Empoli FC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Como 1907 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Empoli FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Empoli FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Empoli FC that had 380 games and scored 231 goals.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' What a moment for Alvaro Morata! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Matteo Gabbia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 30' Faustino Anjorin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 35' Empoli FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' Tijjani Reijnders is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 46' Another change for Empoli FC made on 46 minute. Giuseppe Pezzella leaves to be changed by Liberato Cacace.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roberto D'Aversa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' Yunus Musah catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 66' Sebastiano Esposito is replacing Faustino Anjorin for the Empoli FC side.
- 67' Liam Henderson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 69' What a strike from Tijjani Reijnders! The score is 3-0.
- 71' Another change for Empoli FC made on 71 minute. Saba Goglichidze leaves to be changed by Luca Marianucci.
- 75' AC Milan make a change. Youssouf Fofana trudges off to be replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 75 minutes.
- 76' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Pietro Pellegri by Emmanuel Ekong on 76 minute.
- 81' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Rafael Leao leaves to be changed by Francesco Camarda.
- 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Tammy Abraham 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Francesco Camarda 84'
- 11
- 19
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 75'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 81'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 75'
- 23
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 75'
- 2
- 57
-
31
Strahinja Pavlovic ↑ 75'
- 42
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 84'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Empoli FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 9
- 6
- 3
- 34
- 8
- 21
-
29
Lorenzo Colombo ↓ Ola Solbakken 46'
- 93
- 23
- 11
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 7
-
13
Liberato Cacace ↑ 46'
- 16
-
99
Sebastiano Esposito ↑ 66'
-
17
Ola Solbakken ↑ 46'
-
19
Emmanuel Ekong ↑ 76'
- 12
-
35
Luca Marianucci ↑ 71'
- 31
- 90
- 37
- 36
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Chaka Traore | 1 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | 1 |
| Christian Pulisic | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Empoli FC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
86%
Draw or Empoli FC
38%
AC Milan or Empoli FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.7%
2 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Empoli FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.