1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Referee Jan Neitzel
- Referee Thorben Siewer
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Gunter Perl
13 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–5 | L |
| 03 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 40 | Points | 59 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 68 |
| 53 | Conceded | 47 |
| -9 | GD | +21 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 29% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at Opel Arena.
- 5' Wendell makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
- 9' Brilliant from the ! Robin Quaison makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 9.
- 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 19' Kai Havertz adds to his 6 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 24' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Assisted by Kevin Volland with the perfectly-timed delivery and Julian Brandt makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 35' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' Karim Bellarabi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 38.
- 43' Karim Bellarabi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
- 48' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Pierre Kunde Malong is replaced by Jean-Philippe Gbamin on 55 minute.
- 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' The referee has no hesitation. Robin Quaison is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 61.
- 62' Kai Havertz makes way for Julian Baumgartlinger at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 64' Julian Brandt does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
- 69' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Leandro Barreiro Martins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gerrit Holtmann is hanging Jean-Paul Boetius on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 78' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Wendell departs to be replaced by Tin Jedvaj.
- 81' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 81 minute. Julian Brandt leaves to be changed by Lucas Alario.
- 86' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 89' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Leandro Barreiro Martins.
- It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen share the spoils 1-5.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 7
- 5
- 19
- 14
-
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Karim Onisiwo 62'
- 35
Bench
- 27
-
25
Jean-Philippe Gbamin ↑ 55'
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 71'
- 8
- 10
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 62'
- 20
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Lucas Alario 81'
- 4
- 31
- 20
- 9
- 38
- 29
-
18
Wendell ↓ Tin Jedvaj 78'
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 21
- 28
-
13
Lucas Alario ↑ 81'
-
16
Tin Jedvaj ↑ 78'
-
15
Julian Baumgartlinger ↑ 62'
- 7
- 6
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2019-02-08
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-02-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2019-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
FC Bayern München
W
2019-01-26
VfL Wolfsburg
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-01-19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
L
2018-12-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 20% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

