Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Fri 8 Feb 2019 · 19:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Jan Neitzel
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Gunter Perl
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–5 L
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–3 L
26 Jan 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–1 W
19 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
23 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
19 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 5–1 W
05 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L
02 Feb FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
26 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W
19 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–1 L
22 Dec Hertha BSC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10 Position #6
40 Points 59
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
44 Scored 68
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +21
1.18 PPG 1.74
29% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0519% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen43%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
0 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 20% 37%
+1.5 63% 37%
+2 63% 17% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.