1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Referee Jan Neitzel
- Referee Thorben Siewer
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Gunter Perl
3 games this season
🟨 7.3/game
⚽ 7.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–5 | L |
| 03 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 6 | Conceded | 5 |
| +4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Opel Arena!
- 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Wendell makes it 0-1.
- 9' Robin Quaison is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 14' The travelling Bayer 04 Leverkusen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' Against the run of play, Kai Havertz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 24' It’s high time Peter Bosz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' Julian Brandt makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' Karim Bellarabi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 43' The deadlock is broken! Karim Bellarabi gets on the scoresheet on 43 minutes.
- 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' The whistle greets Pierre Kunde Malong as he departs to be replaced by Jean-Philippe Gbamin.
- 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tin Jedvaj suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Robin Quaison will be fuming at that decision.
- 62' Kai Havertz makes way for Julian Baumgartlinger at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 64' Goal! Julian Brandt scores his 62 goal in 166 matches.
- 69' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Sven Bender has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jean-Paul Boetius has done his job and it is now time for Gerrit Holtmann to step up.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Moussa Niakhate, as he is very good at scoring at Opel Arena with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
- 78' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Wendell has done his job and it is now time for Tin Jedvaj to step up.
- 81' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Julian Brandt by Lucas Alario on 81 minute.
- 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Leandro Barreiro Martins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
- With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 7
- 5
- 19
- 14
-
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Karim Onisiwo 62'
- 35
Bench
- 27
-
25
Jean-Philippe Gbamin ↑ 55'
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 71'
- 8
- 10
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 62'
- 20
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Lucas Alario 81'
- 4
- 31
- 20
- 9
- 38
- 29
-
18
Wendell ↓ Tin Jedvaj 78'
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 21
- 28
-
13
Lucas Alario ↑ 81'
-
16
Tin Jedvaj ↑ 78'
-
15
Julian Baumgartlinger ↑ 62'
- 7
- 6
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2019-02-08
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-02-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2019-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
FC Bayern München
W
2019-01-26
VfL Wolfsburg
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-01-19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
2018-12-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 3
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 15% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

