1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Referee Jan Neitzel
- Referee Thorben Siewer
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Gunter Perl
6 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–5 | L |
| 03 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 20 |
| 19 | Conceded | 17 |
| -1 | GD | +3 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 33% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Opel Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Brilliant from the ! Wendell makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 5.
- 9' Brilliant from the ! Robin Quaison makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 9.
- 14' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kai Havertz makes it 1-2.
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' Goal! Julian Brandt scores his 67 goal in 166 matches.
- 35' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Karim Bellarabi on 38 minutes.
- 43' Magnificent from Karim Bellarabi! That is 22 goals in 555 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 48' Pierre Kunde needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 55' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Jean-Philippe Gbamin on, Pierre Kunde Malong off on 55 minutes.
- 60' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 786 goals from 555 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 62' Time for substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Kai Havertz is replaced by Julian Baumgartlinger.
- 64' Julian Brandt does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
- 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jean-Paul Boetius departs to be replaced by Gerrit Holtmann.
- 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Wendell is withdrawn and Tin Jedvaj gets his opportunity.
- 81' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 81 minute. Julian Brandt leaves to be changed by Lucas Alario.
- 86' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Leandro Barreiro Martins. He receives a Yellow card.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 7
- 5
- 19
- 14
-
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Karim Onisiwo 62'
- 35
Bench
- 27
-
25
Jean-Philippe Gbamin ↑ 55'
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 71'
- 8
- 10
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 62'
- 20
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Lucas Alario 81'
- 4
- 31
- 20
- 9
- 38
- 29
-
18
Wendell ↓ Tin Jedvaj 78'
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 21
- 28
-
13
Lucas Alario ↑ 81'
-
16
Tin Jedvaj ↑ 78'
-
15
Julian Baumgartlinger ↑ 62'
- 7
- 6
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 6 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Anthony Caci | 3 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Robert Andrich | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2019-02-08
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-02-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2019-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
FC Bayern München
W
2019-01-26
VfL Wolfsburg
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2019-01-19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
2018-12-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.99
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.71
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
52%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
70%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
3.9%
2 – 4
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 8% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 18% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 15% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

