1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Nürnberg, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2018-19

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FC Nürnberg

Sat 26 Jan 2019 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Jean-Philippe Mateta 36' Y

Jean-Philippe Gbamin 45' Y

Y 52' Fabian Bredlow

Y 54' Fabian Bredlow

Stefan Bell 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Nürnberg — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
1. FC Nürnberg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert
Referee Markus Hacker
Referee Marco Fritz
Referee Rene Rohde
Referee Marcel Pelgrim

5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 31.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Nürnberg

Last 5 meetings

2019-01-26 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg 2018-09-01 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-01-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg 2017-08-27 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-04-30 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	1. FC Nürnberg	H	2–1	W
19 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–2	W
23 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
19 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–2	D
16 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–4	L
09 Dec	Hannover 96	H	1–1	D

1. FC Nürnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–2	L
20 Jan	Hertha BSC	H	1–3	L
22 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L
18 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	0–2	L
14 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
08 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, 1. FC Nürnberg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Daniel Brosinski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Nürnberg so far.
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
12' Brilliant from the ! Daniel Brosinski makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 12.
17' Federico Palacios Martinez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Nürnberg tonight.
22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
32' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past 1. FC Nürnberg's compact .
36' A moment of madness from Jean-Philippe Mateta on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
41' 1. FC Nürnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
43' Georg Margreitter is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
45' Jean-Philippe Gbamin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
50' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. 1. FC Nürnberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
52' Fabian Bredlow was booked on 52.
54' Poor challenge from Fabian Bredlow. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
54' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Levin Oztunali departs to be replaced by Alexandru Maxim.
59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
64' Spain international Aaron Martin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
66' It is a substitution in 1. FC Nurnberg team. Matheus Pereira is replaced by Eduard Lowen on 66 minute.
71' Tim Leibold has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
73' GOAL! Robin Quaison fires home to make it 2-1!
78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Nürnberg backline.
79' Robin Quaison makes way for Danny Latza at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
82' The whistle greets Jean-Philippe Mateta as he departs to be replaced by Anthony Ujah.
85' Stefan Bell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
87' Sebastian Kerk is replacing Ondrej Petrak for the 1. FC Nurnberg side.
Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats 1. FC Nürnberg

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

9
Jean-Philippe Mateta ↓ Anthony Ujah 82'
22
Florian Muller
18
Daniel Brosinski
16
Stefan Bell C
42
Alexander Hack
25
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
8
Levin Oztunali ↓ Alexandru Maxim 54'
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Danny Latza 79'
5
Jean-Paul Boetius
14
Pierre Kunde
3
Aaron Martin

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

1. FC Nürnberg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Kollner

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1
Mikael Ishak	1
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1
Mikael Ishak	1
Georg Margreitter	1
Adam Zrelak	1
Daniel Brosinski	1
Robin Quaison	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2019-01-26 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg W 2019-01-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-12-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2018-12-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2018-12-16 RB Leipzig 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-12-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hannover 96 D

1. FC Nürnberg Form

2019-01-26 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg L 2019-01-20 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 Hertha BSC L 2018-12-22 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2018-12-18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg L 2018-12-14 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-12-08 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Nürnberg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 1. FC Nürnberg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0553% Draw26% 1. FC Nürnberg21%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

79%

Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg

47%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Nürnberg

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw47% 1. FC Nürnberg19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

10.9%

0 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	1. FC Nürnberg covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.