TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Referee Mike Pickel
- Referee Guido Winkmann
- Referee Pascal Muller
- Referee Marcel Pelgrim
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Dec | Manchester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Dec | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 61 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 65 | Scored | 44 |
| 52 | Conceded | 53 |
| +13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
- 5' The 36-year-old Benjamin Hubner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 11' What a moment for Kerem Demirbay! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jean-Philippe Mateta makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 26' Stefan Bell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danny Latza made 436 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Hack. He replaces Moussa Niakhate on 41 minute.
- 46' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Nico Schulz by Adam Szalai on 59 minute.
- 64' Ridle Baku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 68' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jean-Philippe Mateta is replaced by Karim Onisiwo on 68 minute.
- 69' Steven Zuber picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' Pavel Kaderabek gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Joshua Brenet and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' The crowd applauds Danny Latza as he leaves the pitch. Bote Baku steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 78' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Steven Zuber by Reiss Nelson on 78 minute.
- 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Phillip Tietz scoring 2 goals.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Nico Schulz ↓ Adam Szalai 59'
- 10
- 22
- 1
-
17
Steven Zuber ↓ Reiss Nelson 79'
- 21
- 38
- 11
- 32
-
2
Joshua Brenet ↓ Pavel Kaderabek 73'
- 19
Bench
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↑ 73'
- 18
-
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 59'
- 4
- 33
- 24
-
9
Reiss Nelson ↑ 79'
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 16
- 25
-
6
Danny Latza ↓ Ridle Baku 74'
- 7
- 5
- 19
- 14
- 3
Bench
-
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 41'
- 8
- 10
-
34
Ridle Baku ↑ 74'
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 68'
- 20
- 33
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2018-12-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2018-12-19
SV Werder Bremen
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2018-12-15
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–0
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2018-12-12
Manchester City FC
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2018-12-08
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2018-12-01
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
FC Schalke 04
D
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2018-12-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2018-12-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2018-12-16
RB Leipzig
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2018-12-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Hannover 96
D
2018-11-30
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2018-11-24
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

