VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Referee Robert Kempter
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Referee Christian Leicher
5 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 25.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 18 |
| 15 | Conceded | 19 |
| +0 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 44% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena!
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marc-Oliver Kempf.
- 22' Magnificent from Santiago Ascacibar! That is 14 goals in 453 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Jean-Philippe Mateta does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 38' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 46' Emiliano Insua is ready to make an impact after coming on for Borna Sosa at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 66' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 68' Gerrit Holtmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Paul Boetius on 68 minute.
- 72' Alexander Hack does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Borna Sosa made 453 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Alexander Esswein departs to be replaced by Tasos Donis.
- 81' The crowd applauds Robin Quaison as he leaves the pitch. Anthony Ujah steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 83' A stunning finish from Nicolas Gonzalez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' Daniel Brosinski is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 85' Goal! Marc-Oliver Kempf scores his 15 goal in 453 matches.
- 87' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jean-Philippe Mateta is replaced by Moussa Niakhate.
- 89' Santiago Ascacibar was booked on 89.
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- VfB Stuttgart will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
14
Alexander Esswein ↓ Tasos Donis 78'
- 8
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 20
-
3
Dennis Aogo ↓ Nicolas Gonzalez 46'
- 6
- 4
-
24
Borna Sosa ↓ Emiliano Insua 46'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Emiliano Insua ↑ 46'
- 28
- 32
-
11
Tasos Donis ↑ 78'
- 17
-
22
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 46'
Coach
Markus Weinzierl
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 25
- 8
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Anthony Ujah 81'
- 5
- 14
- 3
Bench
- 27
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 68'
- 10
- 34
-
20
Anthony Ujah ↑ 81'
-
19
Moussa Niakhate ↑ 87'
- 28
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Robin Quaison | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2019-01-19
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2018-12-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2018-12-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2018-12-16
RB Leipzig
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2018-12-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Hannover 96
D
2018-11-30
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.