Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 19 Jan 2019 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Christian Leicher

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
22 Dec FC Schalke 04 H 1–3 L
18 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 0–2 L
15 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–3 L
01 Dec FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
23 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
19 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
09 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–1 D
30 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#10 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfB Stuttgart is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
  • 5' Aaron Martin, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Marc-Oliver Kempf. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 22' GOAL! Santiago Ascacibar scores on 22.
  • 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Jean-Philippe Mateta does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 33' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The whistle greets Borna Sosa as he departs to be replaced by Emiliano Insua.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Florian Muller made 436 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' Gerrit Holtmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Paul Boetius on 68 minute.
  • 72' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexander Hack makes it 1-2.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 78' Tasos Donis is replacing Alexander Esswein for the VfB Stuttgart side.
  • 81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Ujah is hanging Robin Quaison on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Nicolas Gonzalez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniel Brosinski.
  • 85' GOAL! Marc-Oliver Kempf fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 87' Moussa Niakhate has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Philippe Mateta on 87 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Santiago Ascacibar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Gerrit Holtmann will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.86 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw34% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
65%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart20% Draw58% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
19.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 20% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
40%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.