VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Referee Robert Kempter
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Referee Christian Leicher
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfB Stuttgart is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
- 5' Aaron Martin, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Poor challenge from Marc-Oliver Kempf. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 22' GOAL! Santiago Ascacibar scores on 22.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' Jean-Philippe Mateta does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 33' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The whistle greets Borna Sosa as he departs to be replaced by Emiliano Insua.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Florian Muller made 436 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 68' Gerrit Holtmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Paul Boetius on 68 minute.
- 72' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexander Hack makes it 1-2.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' Tasos Donis is replacing Alexander Esswein for the VfB Stuttgart side.
- 81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Ujah is hanging Robin Quaison on the field on 81 minute.
- 83' Nicolas Gonzalez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
- 84' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniel Brosinski.
- 85' GOAL! Marc-Oliver Kempf fires home to make it 3-2!
- 87' Moussa Niakhate has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Philippe Mateta on 87 minute.
- 89' Poor challenge from Santiago Ascacibar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Gerrit Holtmann will be fuming at that decision.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
14
Alexander Esswein ↓ Tasos Donis 78'
- 8
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 20
-
3
Dennis Aogo ↓ Nicolas Gonzalez 46'
- 6
- 4
-
24
Borna Sosa ↓ Emiliano Insua 46'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Emiliano Insua ↑ 46'
- 28
- 32
-
11
Tasos Donis ↑ 78'
- 17
-
22
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 46'
Coach
Markus Weinzierl
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 25
- 8
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Anthony Ujah 81'
- 5
- 14
- 3
Bench
- 27
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 68'
- 10
- 34
-
20
Anthony Ujah ↑ 81'
-
19
Moussa Niakhate ↑ 87'
- 28
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2019-01-19
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2018-12-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2018-12-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2018-12-16
RB Leipzig
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2018-12-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Hannover 96
D
2018-11-30
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.86
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
65%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
0 – 0
19.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.7%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

