Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 19 Jan 2019 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Christian Leicher
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
22 Dec FC Schalke 04 H 1–3 L
18 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 0–2 L
15 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–3 L
01 Dec FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
23 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
19 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
09 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–1 D
30 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#4 Position #10
62 Points 40
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
71 Scored 44
49 Conceded 53
+22 GD -9
1.82 PPG 1.18
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and VfB Stuttgart launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Jean-Philippe Mateta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Marc-Oliver Kempf picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 22' A stunning finish from Santiago Ascacibar — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 27' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Florian Muller, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Borna Sosa is withdrawn and Emiliano Insua gets his opportunity.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Markus Weinzierl might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 68 minute. Jean-Paul Boetius leaves to be changed by Gerrit Holtmann.
  • 72' The Germany Alexander Hack breaks the deadlock on 72 minutes. 1-2!
  • 77' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' VfB Stuttgart ring the changes. Alexander Esswein has done his job and it is now time for Tasos Donis to step up.
  • 81' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Anthony Ujah on, Robin Quaison off on 81 minutes.
  • 83' Goal! Nicolas Gonzalez scores his 41 goal in 438 matches.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Daniel Brosinski. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 85' What a strike from Marc-Oliver Kempf! The score is 3-2.
  • 87' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jean-Philippe Mateta exits the field as Moussa Niakhate enters on 87.
  • 89' Santiago Ascacibar picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Gerrit Holtmann has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart44% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart37% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
24%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.