VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Referee Robert Kempter
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Referee Christian Leicher
18 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 62 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 71 | Scored | 44 |
| 49 | Conceded | 53 |
| +22 | GD | -9 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and VfB Stuttgart launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Jean-Philippe Mateta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Marc-Oliver Kempf picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' A stunning finish from Santiago Ascacibar — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 27' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 28' Against the run of play, Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 33' Florian Muller, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Borna Sosa is withdrawn and Emiliano Insua gets his opportunity.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Markus Weinzierl might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 68' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 68 minute. Jean-Paul Boetius leaves to be changed by Gerrit Holtmann.
- 72' The Germany Alexander Hack breaks the deadlock on 72 minutes. 1-2!
- 77' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 78' VfB Stuttgart ring the changes. Alexander Esswein has done his job and it is now time for Tasos Donis to step up.
- 81' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Anthony Ujah on, Robin Quaison off on 81 minutes.
- 83' Goal! Nicolas Gonzalez scores his 41 goal in 438 matches.
- 84' Poor challenge from Daniel Brosinski. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 85' What a strike from Marc-Oliver Kempf! The score is 3-2.
- 87' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jean-Philippe Mateta exits the field as Moussa Niakhate enters on 87.
- 89' Santiago Ascacibar picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Gerrit Holtmann has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
14
Alexander Esswein ↓ Tasos Donis 78'
- 8
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 20
-
3
Dennis Aogo ↓ Nicolas Gonzalez 46'
- 6
- 4
-
24
Borna Sosa ↓ Emiliano Insua 46'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Emiliano Insua ↑ 46'
- 28
- 32
-
11
Tasos Donis ↑ 78'
- 17
-
22
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 46'
Coach
Markus Weinzierl
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 22
- 18
- 16
- 42
- 25
- 8
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Anthony Ujah 81'
- 5
- 14
- 3
Bench
- 27
-
38
Gerrit Holtmann ↑ 68'
- 10
- 34
-
20
Anthony Ujah ↑ 81'
-
19
Moussa Niakhate ↑ 87'
- 28
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2019-01-19
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2018-12-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2018-12-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2018-12-16
RB Leipzig
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2018-12-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Hannover 96
D
2018-11-30
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

