Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 12 Dec 2023 · 20:00 UTC An der Alten Forsterei HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Volland 45+1' 1–0
1–1 61' Joselu
1–2 72' Joselu
Alex Kral 85' 2–2
2–3 89' Dani Ceballos

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1. FC Union Berlin 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Dec Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
09 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
29 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–1 D
25 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
12 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
08 Nov SSC Napoli A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Betis Balompié A 1–1 D
02 Dec Granada CF H 2–0 W
29 Nov SSC Napoli H 4–2 W
26 Nov Cadiz CF A 3–0 W
11 Nov Valencia CF H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FC Union Berlin welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at An der Alten Forsterei.
  • 5' Robin Knoche needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brahim Diaz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rani Khedira on 35.
  • 40' 1. FC Union Berlin are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 45' Jerome Roussillon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Federico Valverde has done his job and it is now time for Toni Kroos to step up.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Volland makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. David Alaba is booked for Real Madrid CF — Yellow card on 55.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Goal! Joselu scores his 76 goal in 344 matches.
  • 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Antonio Rudiger on, David Alaba off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Joselu makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Rani Khedira as he leaves the pitch. Alex Kral steps in for 1. FC Union Berlin.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Aissa Laidouni.
  • 80' Real Madrid CF make a change. Rodrygo trudges off to be replaced by Brahim Diaz on 80 minutes.
  • 82' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christopher Trimmel is hanging Josip Juranovic on the field on 82 minute.
  • 85' What a moment for Alex Kral! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 89' GOAL! Dani Ceballos scores on 89.
  • 90' Nico Paz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dani Ceballos at the 90 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Real Madrid CF 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin31% Draw27% Real Madrid CF42%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
69%
1. FC Union Berlin or Real Madrid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw45% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.