Saturday , 14 November 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Real Madrid CF H 0–2 L
20 Jan AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
17 Jan Real Betis Balompié A 0–2 L
10 Jan Deportivo Alavés H 3–1 W
03 Jan Elche CF A 3–1 W
21 Dec FC Barcelona H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
20 Jan AS Monaco FC H 6–1 W
17 Jan Levante UD H 2–0 W
04 Jan Real Betis Balompié H 5–1 W
20 Dec Sevilla FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Deportivo Alavés A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#9 Position #2
15 Points 30
12 Played 12
4 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 2
17 Scored 31
15 Conceded 10
+2 GD +21
1.25 PPG 2.50
33% Win % 83%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Villarreal CF are 9th (15 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Villarreal CF
Georges Mikautadze 3 G 1 A
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 4 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G 1 A
Gerard Moreno 2 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF17% Draw22% Real Madrid CF61%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
39%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
83%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF13% Draw40% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 23% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 20% 23%
+2.5 77% — 23%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.