Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FCLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Sevilla FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W
10 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L
07 Dec RC Celta de Vigo H 0–2 L
03 Dec Athletic Club A 3–0 W
30 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
14 Dec Real Oviedo H 4–0 W
07 Dec Valencia CF A 1–1 D
30 Nov Real Betis Balompie H 0–2 L
24 Nov RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–2 L
08 Nov CA Osasuna H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Sevilla FC
#2 Position #15
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 19
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 60
+42 GD -14
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Sevilla FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF67% Draw20% Sevilla FC13%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
87%
Draw or Sevilla FC
33%
Real Madrid CF or Sevilla FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF49% Draw40% Sevilla FC11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 23% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.