Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Tue 8 Nov 2022 · 19:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Markus Hacker
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Patrick Alt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–3 L
29 Oct FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–5 L
19 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 6–0 W
15 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
05 Nov FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
28 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
23 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 2–1 W
15 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
09 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, Hertha BSC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy scores his 126 goal in 398 matches.
  • 8' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marc-Oliver Kempf suffering a number of foals already.
  • 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
  • 18' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 19' What an equalizer from Dodi Lukebakio!
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' It’s high time Michael Wimmer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' It’s a booking for Hertha BSC player. Marc-Oliver Kempf gets a Yellow card.
  • 34' Konstantinos Mavropanos was booked on 34.
  • 39' Hertha BSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hertha BSC that had 464 games and scored 445 goals.
  • 54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' Lilian Egloff was booked on 57.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Hertha BSC. Suat Serdar is replaced by Ivan Sunjic.
  • 64' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Lilian Egloff by Enzo Millot on 64 minute.
  • 69' The travelling Hertha BSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Silas Wamangituka Fundu is replaced by Luca Pfeiffer.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Borna Sosa.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hertha BSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' Atakan Karazor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wataru Endo on 82 minute.
  • 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naouirou Ahamada, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart54% Draw25% Hertha BSC21%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
79%
Draw or Hertha BSC
46%
VfB Stuttgart or Hertha BSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart37% Draw45% Hertha BSC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
36%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.