Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Mon 21 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 42,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Pepelu pen 14' 1–0
1–1 43' Alex Munoz
1–2 53' Fabio Silva
1–3 84' Alberto Moleiro
Cesar Tarrega 90+4' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct UD Las Palmas H 2–3 L
04 Oct CD Leganes A 0–0 D
28 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–3 L
24 Sep CA Osasuna H 0–0 D
21 Sep Girona FC H 2–0 W
15 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Valencia CF A 3–2 W
05 Oct RC Celta de Vigo H 0–1 L
30 Sep Villarreal CF A 1–3 L
26 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 1–1 D
21 Sep CA Osasuna A 1–2 L
15 Sep Athletic Club H 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or UD Las Palmas 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF38% Draw28% UD Las Palmas34%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
66%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
62%
Valencia CF or UD Las Palmas
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF28% Draw46% UD Las Palmas26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
26%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.