Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Urawa Red Diamonds

Sat 10 Oct 2020 · 09:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+7'

Renzo Lopez 40' Y

Y 42' Takahiro Sekine

Yoshiki Takahashi 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hajime Matsuo
Referee Akihito Kawasaki
Referee Yusuke Shiotsu
Referee Kota Watanabe

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.5 goals Urawa Red Diamonds

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds 2020-09-09 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Urawa Red Diamonds 2019-06-15 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
03 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Tōkyō	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	3–4	L

Urawa Red Diamonds

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–0	W
04 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
30 Sep	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L
26 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	0–2	L
23 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–1	W
20 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/4

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

Matheus Savio	4 G
Minamino Harumi	4 G
Takuro Kaneko	1 G	5 A
Hiiro Komori	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' Ewerton is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
40' Renzo Lopez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
42' The referee has no hesitation. Takahiro Sekine is booked for Urawa Red Diamonds — Yellow card on 42.
46' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Daichi Hayashi on, Renzo Lopez off on 46 minutes.
51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
56' Koya Yuruki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
58' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Ryang Yong Gi is replaced by Yoshiki Takahashi.
63' Kenyu Sugimoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
66' Kazuki Nagasawa gets the nod from Urawa Red Diamonds. He replaces Shinzo Koroki and will look to change the dynamic.
71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
72' Yoshiki Takahashi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 72.
74' Takeshi Kanamori is replacing Tomoya Koyamatsu for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
79' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
84' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Uchida exits the field as Tiago Alves enters on 84.
89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
90' Ryosuke Yamanaka is replacing Yosuke Kashiwagi for the Urawa Red Diamonds side.
Urawa Red Diamonds celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Yoshiki Takahashi 58'
18
Yohei Takaoka
41
Daiki Matsuoka
33
Kaisei Ishii ↓ Fuchi Honda 74'
2
Teruki Hara C
30
Yuta Higuchi
31
Ayumu Ohata
6
Yuto Uchida ↓ Tiago Alves 84'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 74'
28
Ryoya Morishita
20
Renzo Lopez ↓ Daichi Hayashi 46'

Bench

14
Yoshiki Takahashi ↑ 58'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 74'
1
Tatsuya Morita
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 74'
9
Tiago Alves ↑ 84'
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 46'
47
Shinya Nakano

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups

Starting XI

5
Tomoaki Makino
8
Ewerton
3
Tomoya Ugajin
30
Shinzo Koroki ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 66'
1
Shusaku Nishikawa C
27
Daiki Hashioka
31
Takuya Iwanami
10
Yosuke Kashiwagi ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 90'
9
Yuki Muto ↓ Koya Yuruki 66'
11
Quentin Martinus ↓ Daisuke Suzuki 90'
41
Takahiro Sekine ↓ Kenyu Sugimoto 46'

Bench

14
Kenyu Sugimoto ↑ 46'
6
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 90'
7
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 66'
4
Daisuke Suzuki ↑ 90'
24
Koya Yuruki ↑ 66'
36
Zion Suzuki
45
Leo

Coach Takeshi Otsuki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	3
Yuki Muto	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Shinzo Koroki	2
Yusuke Matsuo	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Takahiro Akimoto	1
Jose Kante	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-09-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-09-27 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō W 2020-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–3 Sagan Tosu FC L

Urawa Red Diamonds Form

2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2020-10-04 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2020-09-30 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2020-09-26 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Yokohama FC L 2020-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2020-09-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.15 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Urawa Red Diamonds xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw30% Urawa Red Diamonds36%

Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.4

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds

66%

Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw50% Urawa Red Diamonds26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.3%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

2.8%

0 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Urawa Red Diamonds covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	20%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.