Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.
- Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | A | 4–4 | D |
| 10 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Urawa Red Diamonds kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Thiago Santana has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 27' A moment of madness from Hirokazu Ishihara on 27 minutes earns him a card. Urawa Red Diamonds will be frustrated.
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' Japan international Ayumu Yokoyama has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Urawa Red Diamonds that had 439 games and scored 403 goals.
- 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Ayumu Yokoyama on 46 minute.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' A goal from the Japan international Yusuke Matsuo! He fires home on 53 to make it 2-0!
- 57' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Per-Mathias Høgmo will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' Urawa Red Diamonds ring the changes. Naoki Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Tomoaki Okubo to step up.
- 66' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Hikaru Nakahara on, Wataru Harada off on 66 minutes.
- 67' Poor challenge from Kosuke Yamazaki. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 71' Yusuke Matsuo makes way for Shoya Nakajima at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Urawa Red Diamonds.
- 72' Urawa Red Diamonds make a change. Ken Iwao trudges off to be replaced by Yoshio Koizumi on 72 minutes.
- 77' Urawa Red Diamonds are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 79' The crowd applauds Kosuke Yamazaki as he leaves the pitch. Yusuke Maruhashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 81' The whistle greets Thiago Santana as he departs to be replaced by Shinzo Koroki.
- 83' What a strike from Tomoaki Okubo! The score is 3-0.
- 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
12
Thiago Santana ↓ Shinzo Koroki 81'
- 1
- 4
-
38
Naoki Maeda ↓ Tomoaki Okubo 64'
-
24
Yusuke Matsuo ↓ Shoya Nakajima 71'
- 5
- 13
-
6
Ken Iwao ↓ Yoshio Koizumi 72'
-
3
Atsuki Ito ↓ Kaito Yasui 81'
- 20
Bench
-
10
Shoya Nakajima ↑ 71'
-
30
Shinzo Koroki ↑ 81'
- 66
-
21
Tomoaki Okubo ↑ 64'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↑ 72'
-
25
Kaito Yasui ↑ 81'
- 16
Coach
Per-Mathias Høgmo
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 3
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 46'
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Marcelo Ryan 57'
- 23
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 66'
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 79'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 57'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 66'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 46'
- 12
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 3 |
| Yuki Muto | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Shinzo Koroki | 2 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Ken Iwao | 1 |
| Kenyu Sugimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds Form
2024-04-07
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-04-03
FC Tokyo
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2024-03-30
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-03-17
Shonan Bellmare
4–4
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-03-10
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2024-03-03
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–1
Tokyo Verdy
D
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
83%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
41%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds
| Handicap | Urawa Red Diamonds covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

