Thursday , 2 July 2026

Udinese Calcio vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Friuli 23,853 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Lucca 38' 1–0
1–1 50' Lorenzo Pellegrini pen
1–2 64' Artem Dovbyk pen

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AS RomaSerie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Luca Mondin (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Filippo Bercigli
10 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 4.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan AS Roma H 1–2 L
20 Jan Como 1907 A 1–4 L
11 Jan Atalanta BC H 0–0 D
04 Jan Hellas Verona FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Torino FC H 2–2 D
23 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W
23 Jan AZ A 0–1 L
17 Jan Genoa CFC H 3–1 W
12 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–2 D
05 Jan SS Lazio H 2–0 W
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio AS Roma
#10 Position #3
50 Points 73
38 Played 38
14 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 23 / 4 / 11
45 Scored 59
48 Conceded 31
-3 GD +28
1.32 PPG 1.92
37% Win % 61%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Udinese Calcio kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Udinese Calcio does not make any changes. Lorenzo Lucca has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 8' Udinese Calcio make a change. Souleymane Isaak Toure trudges off to be replaced by Christian Kabasele on 8 minutes.
  • 13' Udinese Calcio have won 355 goals from 456 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' Zeki Celik catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
  • 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lorenzo Pellegrini suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Lorenzo Pellegrini. He receives a card.
  • 38' Magnificent from Lorenzo Lucca! That is 22 goals in 114 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Zeki Celik as he leaves the pitch. Eldor Shomurodov steps in for AS Roma.
  • 50' Goal! Lorenzo Pellegrini scores his 47 goal in 527 matches.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Jesper Karlstrom argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 58' A change in the AS Roma ranks — Tommaso Baldanzi exits the field as Stephan El Shaarawy enters on 58.
  • 63' Udinese Calcio are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against AS Roma's 3-5-1-1 shape.
  • 64' GOAL! Artem Dovbyk scores on 64.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Sandi Lovric is replaced by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
  • 70' The whistle greets Devyne Rensch as he departs to be replaced by Nicola Zalewski.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Udinese Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Simone Pafundi. He replaces Martin Payero on 77 minute.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Arthur Atta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 81' Paulo Dybala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Artem Dovbyk at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicola Zalewski, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Friuli with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • It finishes all square. Udinese Calcio and AS Roma share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.92 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio22% Draw26% AS Roma52%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
48%
Draw or AS Roma
78%
Udinese Calcio or AS Roma
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio16% Draw46% AS Roma38%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 24% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.