US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

US Lecce

1 – 2

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Fri 19 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

US Lecce 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Cagliari Calcio 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.2 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

US Lecce 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-19 US Lecce 1–2 Cagliari Calcio 2025-01-19 Cagliari Calcio 4–1 US Lecce 2024-08-31 US Lecce 1–0 Cagliari Calcio 2024-05-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 US Lecce 2024-01-06 US Lecce 1–1 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

US Lecce

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L
14 Sep	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
29 Aug	AC Milan	H	0–2	L
23 Aug	Genoa CFC	A	0–0	D
25 May	SS Lazio	A	1–0	W
18 May	Torino FC	H	1–0	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	US Lecce	A	2–1	W
13 Sep	Parma Calcio 1913	H	2–0	W
30 Aug	SSC Napoli	A	0–1	L
24 Aug	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–1	D
23 May	SSC Napoli	A	0–2	L
18 May	Venezia FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

US Lecce		Cagliari Calcio
#14	Position	#9
10	Points	16
11	Played	11
3 / 1 / 7	W / D / L	5 / 1 / 5
12	Scored	10
22	Conceded	15
-10	GD	-5
0.91	PPG	1.45
27%	Win %	45%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Lecce

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/8

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/5

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cagliari Calcio

0-15

1/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

US Lecce

Lassana Coulibaly	2 G	2 A
Tiago Gabriel	2 G	1 A
Olaf Gorter	1 G

Cagliari Calcio

Daniel Maldini	5 G
Alessandro Romano	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. US Lecce host Cagliari Calcio — let the battle begin!
The referee brings this contest to a close. Cagliari Calcio take all three points.

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nikola Krstovic	2
Valentin Gendrey	1
Yerry Mina	1
Sebastiano Luperto	1
Gianluca Gaetano	1
Nadir Zortea	1
Joao Pedro Galvao	1
Adam Obert	1

Head to Head

US Lecce Form

2025-09-19 US Lecce 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2025-09-14 Atalanta BC 4–1 US Lecce L 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan L 2025-08-23 Genoa CFC 0–0 US Lecce D 2025-05-25 SS Lazio 0–1 US Lecce W 2025-05-18 US Lecce 1–0 Torino FC W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2025-09-19 US Lecce 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2025-09-13 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 Parma Calcio 1913 W 2025-08-30 SSC Napoli 1–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2025-08-24 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-05-23 SSC Napoli 2–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2025-05-18 Cagliari Calcio 3–0 Venezia FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 US Lecce xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

US Lecce31% Draw31% Cagliari Calcio38%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw

61%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

69%

US Lecce or Cagliari Calcio

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

US Lecce21% Draw51% Cagliari Calcio28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

12%

0 – 1

11.2%

1 – 0

9.1%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

7.6%

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 0

5.2%

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.5%

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

2.4%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap	US Lecce covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	18%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	21%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.