Sunday , 16 August 2026

US Catanzaro vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 10:30 UTC Nicola Ceravolo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Spezia CalcioSerie B at Nicola Ceravolo.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Spezia Calcio H 4–2 W
18 Apr SS Juve Stabia A 1–1 D
14 Apr Modena FC 2018 H 2–2 D
11 Apr Calcio Avellino SSD A 1–1 D
06 Apr AC Monza H 1–1 D
21 Mar AC Cesena A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr US Catanzaro A 2–4 L
18 Apr FC Südtirol H 6–1 W
12 Apr Mantova 1911 SSD H 0–2 L
06 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 1–3 L
21 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–3 L
17 Mar Empoli FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

US Catanzaro Spezia Calcio
#9 Position #7
0 Points 35
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 8 / 11 / 19
0 Scored 43
0 Conceded 59
+0 GD -16
PPG 0.92
Win % 21%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Catanzaro are 9th (0 pts). Spezia Calcio are 7th (35 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro51% Draw30% Spezia Calcio19%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
81%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
49%
US Catanzaro or Spezia Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro31% Draw55% Spezia Calcio14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
51%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.