Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 24,942 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Hugo Duro
Sandro pen 45+2' 1–1
1–2 58' Hugo Duro
1–3 75' Alex Suarez og
Oliver McBurnie 83' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Valencia CF H 2–3 L
23 Apr Athletic Club A 0–1 L
19 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–0 W
12 Apr Getafe CF A 3–1 W
06 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–3 L
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May UD Las Palmas A 3–2 W
22 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–1 D
19 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
11 Apr Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio de Gran Canaria that hosts another battle between UD Las Palmas and Valencia CF.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Umar Sadiq needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' UD Las Palmas is showing some good football. However, UD Las Palmas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 22' GOAL! Hugo Duro scores on 22.
  • 26' It’s a booking for Valencia CF player. Javier Guerra gets a card.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' It looks surprising UD Las Palmas does not make any changes. Mika Marmol has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' It’s high time Diego Martinez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. Valencia CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' GOAL! Sandro scores on 45.
  • 52' UD Las Palmas seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' The travelling Valencia CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' What a strike from Hugo Duro! The score is 1-2.
  • 58' Manuel Fuster has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sandro on 58 minute.
  • 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Las Palmas needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Another change for UD Las Palmas made on 69 minute. Alex Munoz leaves to be changed by Adnan Januzaj.
  • 73' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Rafael Mir departs to be replaced by Andre Almeida.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stefan Bajcetic on 74.
  • 75' What an equalizer from Alex Suarez!
  • 79' Jose Campana is replacing Stefan Bajcetic for the UD Las Palmas side.
  • 83' Sensational shot from Oliver McBurnie. UD Las Palmas is back in the lead.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Valencia CF team. Diego Lopez is replaced by Yarek Gasiorowski on 84 minute.
  • 89' Valencia CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for UD Las Palmas.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.46 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas35% Draw28% Valencia CF37%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
63%
Draw or Valencia CF
65%
UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas27% Draw45% Valencia CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
23%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.