Wednesday , 30 September 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 24,942 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Hugo Duro
Sandro pen 45+2' 1–1
1–2 58' Hugo Duro
1–3 75' Alex Suarez og
Oliver McBurnie 83' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 6.7/game ⚽ 23.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Valencia CF H 2–3 L
23 Apr Athletic Club A 0–1 L
19 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–0 W
12 Apr Getafe CF A 3–1 W
06 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–3 L
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May UD Las Palmas A 3–2 W
22 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–1 D
19 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
11 Apr Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. UD Las Palmas get us underway at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. UD Las Palmas and Valencia CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Gran Canaria. UD Las Palmas seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' UD Las Palmas currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Hugo Duro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Javier Guerra.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Javier Guerra, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Gran Canaria with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' UD Las Palmas started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giorgi Mamardashvili suffering a number of foals already.
  • 47' What a moment for Sandro! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 52' It’s high time Diego Martinez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' Valencia CF come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Hugo Duro makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Manuel Fuster. He replaces Sandro on 58 minute.
  • 63' The 32-year-old Luis Rioja has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' Viti has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 124 appearances.
  • 69' UD Las Palmas make a change. Alex Munoz trudges off to be replaced by Adnan Januzaj on 69 minutes.
  • 73' Rafael Mir makes way for Andre Almeida at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Valencia CF.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Stefan Bajcetic on 74 minutes earns him a card. UD Las Palmas will be frustrated.
  • 75' The Spain Alex Suarez breaks the deadlock on 75 minutes. 2-2!
  • 79' A tactical swap from UD Las Palmas — Jose Campana on, Stefan Bajcetic off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' What composure from Oliver McBurnie! The Scotland international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Valencia CF. Diego Lopez is replaced by Yarek Gasiorowski.
  • 89' Jesus Vazquez Alcalde, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Valencia CF take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.46 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas35% Draw28% Valencia CF37%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
63%
Draw or Valencia CF
65%
UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas27% Draw45% Valencia CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.