Sunday , 16 August 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 24,942 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Hugo Duro
Sandro pen 45+2' 1–1
1–2 58' Hugo Duro
1–3 75' Alex Suarez og
Oliver McBurnie 83' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Valencia CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Valencia CF H 2–3 L
23 Apr Athletic Club A 0–1 L
19 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–0 W
12 Apr Getafe CF A 3–1 W
06 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–3 L
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May UD Las Palmas A 3–2 W
22 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–1 D
19 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
11 Apr Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
30 Mar RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — UD Las Palmas and Valencia CF get this one started.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Las Palmas side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Jesus Vazquez Alcalde has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 22' Hugo Duro does the damage! The net is bulging and Valencia CF surge ahead!
  • 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Javier Guerra on 26 minutes.
  • 31' Stefan Bajcetic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Valencia CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Sandro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' Javier Guerra is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for UD Las Palmas so far.
  • 57' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 58' GOAL! Hugo Duro fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 58' A change in the UD Las Palmas ranks — Sandro exits the field as Manuel Fuster enters on 58.
  • 63' Alberto Moleiro has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 118 appearances.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Viti made 118 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' Adnan Januzaj has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Munoz on 69 minute.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Rafael Mir as he leaves the pitch. Andre Almeida steps in for Valencia CF.
  • 74' Stefan Bajcetic was booked on 74.
  • 75' Goal! Alex Suarez scores his 5 goal in 118 matches.
  • 79' Jose Campana is replacing Stefan Bajcetic for the UD Las Palmas side.
  • 83' A stunning finish from Oliver McBurnie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' The Valencia CF bench stirs into life. Diego Lopez is withdrawn and Yarek Gasiorowski gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Gaya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.46 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas35% Draw28% Valencia CF37%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
63%
Draw or Valencia CF
65%
UD Las Palmas or Valencia CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas27% Draw45% Valencia CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
23%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.