Sunday , 16 August 2026

Valencia CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Fri 18 Aug 2023 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 41,053 HT 45' · FT 45'
Pepelu pen 74' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Iglesias Villanueva (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jorge Bueno Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Asier Perez de Mendiola (Spain)

Head-to-Head

2
2
Valencia CF 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals UD Las Palmas

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
11 Aug Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
04 Jun Real Betis Balompié A 1–1 D
28 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–2 D
25 May RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L
21 May Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Valencia CF A 0–1 L
12 Aug RCD Mallorca H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Valencia CF have kicked off against UD Las Palmas. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' UD Las Palmas is showing some good football. However, UD Las Palmas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Valencia CF and UD Las Palmas are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 22' A change in the UD Las Palmas ranks — Daley Sinkgraven exits the field as Marc Cardona enters on 22.
  • 23' The UD Las Palmas bench stirs into life. Daley Sinkgraven is withdrawn and Sergi Cardona gets his opportunity.
  • 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alvaro Valles Rosa made 118 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The UD Las Palmas manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Lemos departs to be replaced by Julian Araujo.
  • 51' The 25-year-old Cenk Ozkacar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' Valencia CF ring the changes. Andre Almeida has done his job and it is now time for Javier Guerra to step up.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Fresh legs for UD Las Palmas! Pejino comes on to replace Munir El Haddadi.
  • 64' Time for substitution for UD Las Palmas. Munir El Haddadi is replaced by Pejino.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marc Cardona suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' Valencia CF make a change. Diego Lopez trudges off to be replaced by Pablo Gozalbez on 70 minutes.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pepelu makes it 1-0.
  • 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valencia CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' Hugo Gonzalez gets the nod from Valencia CF. He replaces Hugo Duro and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Valencia CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against UD Las Palmas's 4-3-3 shape.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Valencia CF and UD Las Palmas (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF52% Draw30% UD Las Palmas18%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
82%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
48%
Valencia CF or UD Las Palmas
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF32% Draw56% UD Las Palmas12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
54%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.