Friday , 2 October 2026

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 17,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Arribas 3' 1–0
1–1 19' Jude Bellingham
1–2 60' Jude Bellingham
1–3 73' Vinicius Junior
Chumi 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–3 L
11 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
04 Jun RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 3–3 D
28 May Real Valladolid CF H 0–0 D
23 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–1 L
20 May RCD Mallorca H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug UD Almeria A 3–1 W
12 Aug Athletic Club A 2–0 W
04 Jun Athletic Club H 1–1 D
27 May Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
24 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! UD Almería vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' What a moment for Sergio Arribas! That strike on 3 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 8' UD Almería currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' The deadlock is broken! Jude Bellingham gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
  • 24' Joselu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 76 goals in his last 344 appearances.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eduardo Camavinga made 428 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Almería side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' Iddrisu Baba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' UD Almeria receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 60' Assisted by Toni Kroos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jude Bellingham makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 61' The crowd applauds Largie Ramazani as he leaves the pitch. Ibrahima Kone steps in for UD Almeria.
  • 66' UD Almería are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Marc Pubill makes way for Alejandro Pozo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from UD Almeria.
  • 70' The whistle greets Lucas Robertone as he departs to be replaced by Gonzalo Melero.
  • 72' Eduardo Camavinga gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Toni Kroos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Vinicius Junior is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Jude Bellingham is withdrawn and Joselu gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Federico Valverde makes way for Lucas Vazquez at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria26% Draw26% Real Madrid CF48%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
UD Almeria or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria20% Draw45% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.