Thursday , 8 October 2026

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
UD Almeria
4 – 2
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SD Eibar 8 21
2 CD Castellon 8 20
3 UD Almeria 8 18
4 Girona FC 8 14
5 RCD Mallorca 8 14
6 Burgos CF 8 14
7 CE Sabadell FC 8 13
8 Real Sporting de Gijon 8 13
9 CD Leganes 8 11
10 CD Tenerife 8 11
11 UD Las Palmas 8 11
12 Granada CF 8 11
13 Real Oviedo 8 11
14 Real Valladolid CF 8 9
15 Cordoba CF 8 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 8
17 CD Eldense 8 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 8
19 Cadiz CF 8 7
20 Andorra CF 8 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 8 5
22 Albacete Balompie 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
1
UD Almeria 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 UD Almeria 4–2 AD Ceuta FC 2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

UD Almeria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AD Ceuta FC H 4–2 W
25 Jan SD Eibar A 0–1 L
17 Jan RC Deportivo La Coruna H 1–2 L
10 Jan CD Mirandés A 2–2 D
03 Jan Granada CF H 3–2 W
21 Dec Malaga CF A 1–2 L
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb UD Almeria A 2–4 L
26 Jan Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 3–1 W
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Malaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almeria AD Ceuta FC
#3 Position #21
18 Points 5
8 Played 8
6 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
13 Scored 7
5 Conceded 18
+8 GD -11
2.25 PPG 0.63
75% Win % 13%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
UD Almeria this season
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season

UD Almeria are 3rd (18 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 21st (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almeria
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almeria
Miguel De la Fuente 3 G 1 A
Brian Cipenga 2 G 3 A
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
AD Ceuta FC
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Jordi Escobar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.09 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería65% Draw18% AD Ceuta FC17%
Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
83%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
35%
UD Almería or AD Ceuta FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería54% Draw32% AD Ceuta FC14%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5.9%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 0
4.5%
4 – 2
Actual
5 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 19% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 19% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.