Thursday , 2 July 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CFSegunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Jon Gonzalez Esteban (Spain)

Head-to-Head

2
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Valladolid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Malaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W
14 Dec UD Las Palmas H 1–1 D
07 Dec Granada CF A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AD Ceuta FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan CD Leganes A 0–3 L
03 Jan Real Racing Club de Santander H 1–1 D
19 Dec SD Eibar A 0–3 L
13 Dec Andorra CF H 0–1 L
06 Dec SD Huesca A 4–1 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Real Valladolid CF
#11 Position #17
61 Points 46
42 Played 42
17 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 20
51 Scored 44
63 Conceded 57
-12 GD -13
1.45 PPG 1.10
40% Win % 29%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 11th (61 pts). Real Valladolid CF are 17th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Real Valladolid CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Real Valladolid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC27% Draw27% Real Valladolid CF46%
Actual: Real Valladolid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Real Valladolid CF
73%
AD Ceuta FC or Real Valladolid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC19% Draw45% Real Valladolid CF36%
Actual: Real Valladolid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Real Valladolid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Real Valladolid CF keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.