Saturday , 14 November 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Jon Gonzalez Esteban (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
2
AD Ceuta FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Real Valladolid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Málaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W
14 Dec UD Las Palmas H 1–1 D
07 Dec Granada CF A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AD Ceuta FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan CD Leganes A 0–3 L
03 Jan Real Racing Club de Santander H 1–1 D
19 Dec SD Eibar A 0–3 L
13 Dec Andorra CF H 0–1 L
06 Dec SD Huesca A 4–1 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Real Valladolid CF
#22 Position #12
5 Points 18
13 Played 13
1 / 2 / 10 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 5
10 Scored 22
30 Conceded 20
-20 GD +2
0.38 PPG 1.38
8% Win % 38%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Real Valladolid CF this season

AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (5 pts). Real Valladolid CF are 12th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/6
61-75
1/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Valladolid CF
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/3
61-75
1/5
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
Jordi Escobar 4 G 1 A
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Real Valladolid CF
Adrian Arnun 5 G 1 A
Julien Ponceau 3 G 6 A
Juanmi Latasa 3 G
Miguel Rubio 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Real Valladolid CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Real Valladolid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Real Valladolid CF to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC18% Draw21% Real Valladolid CF61%
Actual: Real Valladolid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
40%
Draw or Real Valladolid CF
82%
AD Ceuta FC or Real Valladolid CF
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC11% Draw37% Real Valladolid CF52%
Actual: Real Valladolid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 4
5.3%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Real Valladolid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 29% — 71%
+1 29% 21% 50%
+1.5 50% — 50%
+2 50% 21% 29%
+2.5 71% — 29%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Valladolid CF keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.