Tuesday , 18 August 2026

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
UD Almeria
4 – 2
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruna 42 77
3 Málaga CF 42 73
4 CD Mirandés 42 40
5 SD Huesca 42 38
6 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
7 Real Zaragoza 42 36
8 CD Castellon 1 3
9 Andorra CF 0 0
10 UD Almeria 0 0
11 CD Tenerife 0 0
12 RCD Mallorca 0 0
13 Burgos CF 0 0
14 UD Las Palmas 0 0
15 CD Leganes 0 0
16 Girona FC 0 0
17 Real Sporting de Gijon 0 0
18 Granada CF 0 0
19 Cadiz CF 0 0
20 Real Oviedo 0 0
21 Celta Vigo B 0 0
22 CE Sabadell FC 0 0
23 Real Sociedad B 1 0
24 Cordoba CF 0 0
25 Albacete Balompie 0 0
26 SD Eibar 0 0
27 Real Valladolid CF 0 0
28 CD Eldense 0 0
29 AD Ceuta FC 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
UD Almeria 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 UD Almeria 4–2 AD Ceuta FC 2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

UD Almeria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AD Ceuta FC H 4–2 W
25 Jan SD Eibar A 0–1 L
17 Jan RC Deportivo La Coruna H 1–2 L
10 Jan CD Mirandés A 2–2 D
03 Jan Granada CF H 3–2 W
21 Dec Málaga CF A 1–2 L
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb UD Almeria A 2–4 L
26 Jan Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 3–1 W
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Málaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almeria AD Ceuta FC
#10 Position #29
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
UD Almeria this season

UD Almeria are 10th (0 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 29th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria46% Draw27% AD Ceuta FC27%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
73%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
54%
UD Almeria or AD Ceuta FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria31% Draw48% AD Ceuta FC21%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.