Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
UD Almeria
4 – 2
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruna 42 77
3 UD Almeria 42 74
4 Malaga CF 42 73
5 UD Las Palmas 42 73
6 CD Castellon 42 72
7 Burgos CF 42 72
8 SD Eibar 42 67
9 Real Sporting de Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba CF 42 61
11 AD Ceuta FC 42 61
12 Albacete Balompie 42 59
13 Andorra CF 42 58
14 Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 47
16 CD Leganes 42 46
17 Real Valladolid CF 42 46
18 Cadiz CF 42 43
19 CD Mirandes 42 40
20 SD Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 36

Head-to-Head

1
1
UD Almeria 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AD Ceuta FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 UD Almeria 4–2 AD Ceuta FC 2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

UD Almeria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AD Ceuta FC H 4–2 W
25 Jan SD Eibar A 0–1 L
17 Jan RC Deportivo La Coruna H 1–2 L
10 Jan CD Mirandes A 2–2 D
03 Jan Granada CF H 3–2 W
21 Dec Malaga CF A 1–2 L
AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb UD Almeria A 2–4 L
26 Jan Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 3–1 W
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Malaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almeria AD Ceuta FC
#3 Position #11
74 Points 61
42 Played 42
22 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 17 / 10 / 15
81 Scored 51
63 Conceded 63
+18 GD -12
1.76 PPG 1.45
52% Win % 40%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 11th (61 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.75 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria55% Draw20% AD Ceuta FC25%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
75%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
45%
UD Almeria or AD Ceuta FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria44% Draw34% AD Ceuta FC22%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 19% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.