Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Lorient

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Lorient 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillaume Paradis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals FC Lorient

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-03 Toulouse FC 1–1 FC Lorient 2023-04-23 FC Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	FC Lorient	H	1–0	W
15 Mar	FC Metz	A	4–3	W
07 Mar	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L

FC Lorient

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Toulouse FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Racing Club de Lens	H	2–1	W
08 Mar	Lille OSC	A	1–1	D
01 Mar	AJ Auxerre	H	2–2	D
22 Feb	OGC Nice	A	3–3	D
15 Feb	Angers SCO	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		FC Lorient
#11	Position	#12
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). FC Lorient are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Toulouse FC host FC Lorient — let the battle begin!
It finishes all square. Toulouse FC and FC Lorient share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thijs Dallinga	3
Armand Lauriente	1
Ibrahima Kone	1
Zakaria Aboukhlal	1
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng	1
Ibrahim Cissoko	1
Julien Ponceau	1
Rafael Ratao	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.58 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.38 FC Lorient xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC39% Draw43% FC Lorient18%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes16% 0% No84%

Avg goals/match: 0.96

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	59%	41%
± 1.5	26%	74%
± 2.5	8%	92%
± 3.5	2%	98%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

82%

Draw or FC Lorient

61%

Toulouse FC or FC Lorient

57%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC17% Draw74% FC Lorient9%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

41.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

12.4%

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 0

5.8%

2 – 1

2.9%

0 – 2

2.3%

1 – 2

1.7%

3 – 0

1.1%

2 – 2

0.7%

3 – 1

0.6%

0 – 3

0.3%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	FC Lorient covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	23%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	14%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

69% ✓

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet

56% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.