Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
1 – 0
Full Time
FC Lorient
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

3
4
Toulouse FC 7 games · Avg 2.4 goals FC Lorient
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-03 Toulouse FC 1–1 FC Lorient 2023-04-23 FC Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L
FC Lorient
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Toulouse FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lille OSC A 1–1 D
01 Mar AJ Auxerre H 2–2 D
22 Feb OGC Nice A 3–3 D
15 Feb Angers SCO H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC FC Lorient
#12 Position #10
13 Points 15
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 3
15 Scored 9
14 Conceded 8
+1 GD +1
1.30 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 40%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' toulouse fc have kicked off against fc lorient. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 1-0 the final result. fc lorient will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Thijs Dallinga 3
Rafael Ratao 1
Armand Lauriente 1
Ibrahima Kone 1
Zakaria Aboukhlal 1
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 1
Ibrahim Cissoko 1
Julien Ponceau 1

Head to Head

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-03 Toulouse FC 1–1 FC Lorient 2023-04-23 FC Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient W 2026-03-15 FC Metz 3–4 Toulouse FC W 2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-28 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L

FC Lorient Form

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient L 2026-03-14 FC Lorient 2–1 Racing Club de Lens W 2026-03-08 Lille OSC 1–1 FC Lorient D 2026-03-01 FC Lorient 2–2 AJ Auxerre D 2026-02-22 OGC Nice 3–3 FC Lorient D 2026-02-15 FC Lorient 2–0 Angers SCO W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC45% Draw32% FC Lorient23%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Lorient
55%
Toulouse FC or FC Lorient
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC26% Draw57% FC Lorient17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.