Wednesday , 30 September 2026

OGC Nice vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
3 – 3
Full Time
Sun 22 Feb 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb FC Lorient H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 0–2 L
08 Feb AS Monaco FC H 0–0 D
01 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 2–2 D
29 Jan PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–1 L
25 Jan FC Nantes A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb OGC Nice A 3–3 D
15 Feb Angers SCO H 2–0 W
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
31 Jan FC Nantes H 2–1 W
24 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
16 Jan AS Monaco FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

OGC Nice FC Lorient
#14 Position #12
5 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
3 Scored 5
6 Conceded 6
-3 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
40% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts). FC Lorient are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.23 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: OGC Nice or FC Lorient 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
OGC Nice35% Draw29% FC Lorient36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Lorient
65%
OGC Nice or FC Lorient
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
OGC Nice24% Draw48% FC Lorient28%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.