Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

Toronto FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 16 Apr 2022 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Jayden Nelson 19' Y

Jayden Nelson 20' Y

Pozuelo 30' Y

Michael Bradley 45' Y

Y 53' Julian Carranza

Kadin Chung 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union 2021-08-04 Philadelphia Union 3–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-24 Philadelphia Union 5–0 Toronto FC 2020-10-03 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W
10 Apr	Real Salt Lake	A	2–2	D
02 Apr	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
19 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	2–1	W
12 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
05 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–4	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–0	W
02 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
19 Mar	New York City FC	A	2–0	W
13 Mar	San Jose Earthquakes	H	2–0	W
05 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Philadelphia Union
#12	Position	#13
17	Points	16
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
24	Scored	25
32	Conceded	33
-8	GD	-8
0.94	PPG	0.89
17%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at BMO Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union.
5' Jamaica international Cory Burke has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Luca Petrasso is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shane O'Neill, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
19' Jayden Nelson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 19.
20' A moment of madness from Jayden Nelson on 20 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
25' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
30' Pozuelo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 30.
34' A goal from the Argentina international Julian Carranza! He fires home on 34 to make it 0-1!
39' What composure from Jesus Jimenez! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-1.
44' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 1 goals.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Michael Bradley on 45.
46' Toronto FC make a change. Jayden Nelson trudges off to be replaced by Deandre Kerr on 46 minutes.
51' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pozuelo makes no mistake. 2-1!
53' Julian Carranza picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
56' Kosi Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Osorio on 56 minute.
61' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
66' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
69' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Julian Carranza is replaced by Sergio Santos on 69 minute.
72' Toronto FC make a change. Luca Petrasso trudges off to be replaced by Jordan Perruzza on 72 minutes.
75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kadin Chung on 75 minutes.
77' Philadelphia Union make a change. Mikael Uhre trudges off to be replaced by Cory Burke on 77 minutes.
79' Lukas MacNaughton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kadin Chung at the 79 minute mark.
84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Gazdag made 95 appearances and scored 66 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
87' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Alejandro Bedoya is replaced by Paxten Aaronson on 87 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Paxten Aaronson 87'
9
Julian Carranza ↓ Sergio Santos 69'
7
Mikael Uhre ↓ Cory Burke 77'
6
Daniel Gazdag
8
Jose Andres Martinez
5
Jakob Glesnes
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jack McGlynn 69'
26
Nathan Harriel

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Mikael Uhre	4
Daniel Gazdag	4
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Nathan Harriel	2
Julian Carranza	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union W 2022-04-10 Real Salt Lake 2–2 Toronto FC D 2022-04-02 Toronto FC 2–1 New York City FC W 2022-03-19 Toronto FC 2–1 D.C. United SC W 2022-03-12 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 Toronto FC L 2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2022-04-09 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Columbus Crew SC W 2022-04-02 Philadelphia Union 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2022-03-19 New York City FC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2022-03-13 Philadelphia Union 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes W 2022-03-05 Montreal Impact FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.6 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC39% Draw25% Philadelphia Union36%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

61%

Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC28% Draw42% Philadelphia Union30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

8.2%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.6%

0 – 2

5.4%

0 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

5.2%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 1

4.1%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	17%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.