Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Orlando City SC

4 – 0

Full Time

Toronto FC

Tue 4 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Cesar Araujo 16' 1–0

Duncan McGuire 22' 2–0

Dagur THorhallsson 77' 3–0

Ercan Kara 84' 4–0

Y 45' Alonso Coello Camarero

Y 47' Federico Bernardeschi

YR 62' Federico Bernardeschi

Pedro Gallese 62' Y

Y 80' Raoul Petretta

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-09-17 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC 2021-07-17 Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC 2021-06-19 Toronto FC 2–3 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jul	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–1	W
25 Jun	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–0	D
21 Jun	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D
17 Jun	New England Revolution	A	1–3	L
10 Jun	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–0	W

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	0–4	L
01 Jul	Real Salt Lake	H	0–1	L
24 Jun	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
21 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	0–3	L
10 Jun	Nashville SC	H	1–1	D
04 Jun	Minnesota United FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC		Toronto FC
#7	Position	#13
34	Points	29
27	Played	27
10 / 4 / 13	W / D / L	6 / 11 / 10
48	Scored	39
64	Conceded	51
-16	GD	-12
1.26	PPG	1.07
37%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/3

16-30

8/8

31-45

1/7

46-60

8/6

61-75

7/4

76+

9/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	13 G	1 A
Antoine Griezmann	8 G	4 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Orlando City SC and Toronto FC has kicked off!
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Luca Petrasso has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 288 appearances.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lazar Stefanovic, as he is very good at scoring at Exploria Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
16' Orlando City SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cesar Araujo on 16.
21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
22' Assisted by Rafael Santos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Duncan McGuire makes no mistake. 2-0!
27' Pedro Gallese needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
37' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
42' Toronto FC have won 376 goals from 288 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' Alonso Coello Camarero has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
46' Lazar Stefanovic gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Aime Mabika and will look to change the dynamic.
47' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
52' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
57' The whistle greets Mauricio Pereyra as he departs to be replaced by Ramiro Enrique.
62' That looks like a foul for a card for Federico Bernardeschi.
63' The crowd applauds Ayo Akinola as he leaves the pitch. Ercan Kara steps in for Orlando City SC.
68' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Ivan Angulo has done his job and it is now time for Dagur THorhallsson to step up.
73' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
77' Dagur THorhallsson makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Orlando City SC are in front.
79' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Facundo Torres Perez is withdrawn and Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty gets his opportunity.
80' Raoul Petretta was booked on 80.
84' GOAL! Ercan Kara fires home to make it 4-0!
89' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
4-0 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

25
Antonio Carlos
1
Pedro Gallese
16
Wilder Cartagena
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↓ Ramiro Enrique 57'
3
Rafael Santos
6
Robin Jansson
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Luca Petrasso 68'
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 68'
17
Facundo Torres Perez
5
Cesar Araujo
13
Duncan McGuire

Bench

Toronto FC Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duncan McGuire	5
Tesho Akindele	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Cesar Araujo	2
Dagur THorhallsson	2
Nani	2
Djordje Mihailovic	2
Ercan Kara	2

Head to Head

Orlando City SC Form

2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC W 2023-07-01 Orlando City SC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2023-06-25 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Orlando City SC D 2023-06-21 Orlando City SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2023-06-17 New England Revolution 3–1 Orlando City SC L 2023-06-10 Orlando City SC 2–0 Colorado Rapids SC W

Toronto FC Form

2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC L 2023-07-01 Toronto FC 0–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-06-10 Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2023-06-04 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.64 Orlando City SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Orlando City SC65% Draw19% Toronto FC16%

Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.96

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw

84%

Draw or Toronto FC

35%

Orlando City SC or Toronto FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Orlando City SC48% Draw36% Toronto FC16%

Actual: Orlando City SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 1

7.4%

3 – 1

7.4%

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

4 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.8%

1 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

Actual

4 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap	Orlando City SC covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	18%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	20%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

27% ✗

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.