Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 63 | Scored | 52 |
| 78 | Conceded | 67 |
| -15 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 38% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Exploria Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Orlando City SC and Toronto FC.
- 5' Orlando City SC have won 466 goals from 302 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Cesar Araujo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 15' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' Cesar Araujo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 22' Duncan McGuire is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 27' Shane O'Neill has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' Wilder Cartagena, a Peru , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' Alonso Coello Camarero has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Aime Mabika is replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Federico Bernardeschi.
- 52' Orlando City SC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-4-1-1 shape.
- 57' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Mauricio Pereyra is replaced by Ramiro Enrique.
- 62' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 63' Ercan Kara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ayo Akinola at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Ivan Angulo has done his job and it is now time for Dagur THorhallsson to step up.
- 73' Ayo Akinola has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' What a strike from Dagur THorhallsson! The score is 3-0.
- 79' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is replacing Facundo Torres Perez for the Toronto FC side.
- 80' Raoul Petretta is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 84' Assisted by Martin Ojeda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ercan Kara makes no mistake. 4-0!
- 89' Aime Mabika is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-0.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 16
- 10
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Luca Petrasso 68'
- 77
- 17
- 5
- 13
Bench
- 15
- 11
- 8
- 31
- 9
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 57'
-
20
Luca Petrasso ↑ 68'
- 95
-
23
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 68'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 14
- 28
- 27
- 18
-
6
Aime Mabika ↓ Lazar Stefanovic 46'
- 47
- 19
- 52
Bench
- 9
- 7
- 77
- 90
-
81
Themi Antonoglou ↑ 46'
- 83
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 3 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Cesar Araujo | 2 |
| Dagur THorhallsson | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2023-07-04
Orlando City SC
4–0
Toronto FC
W
2023-07-01
Orlando City SC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-06-25
Seattle Sounders FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
2023-06-21
Orlando City SC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2023-06-17
New England Revolution
3–1
Orlando City SC
L
2023-06-10
Orlando City SC
2–0
Colorado Rapids SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.5%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 20% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.