Thursday , 2 July 2026

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Tue 4 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Cesar Araujo 16' 1–0
Duncan McGuire 22' 2–0
Dagur THorhallsson 77' 3–0
Ercan Kara 84' 4–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Toronto FC H 4–0 W
01 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
25 Jun Seattle Sounders FC A 0–0 D
21 Jun Philadelphia Union H 2–2 D
17 Jun New England Revolution A 1–3 L
10 Jun Colorado Rapids SC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Orlando City SC A 0–4 L
01 Jul Real Salt Lake H 0–1 L
24 Jun New England Revolution A 1–2 L
21 Jun FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L
10 Jun Nashville SC H 1–1 D
04 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC Toronto FC
#13 Position #11
14 Points 14
15 Played 14
4 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
23 Scored 22
44 Conceded 29
-21 GD -7
0.93 PPG 1.00
27% Win % 21%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Exploria Stadium!
  • 5' Pedro Gallese is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cesar Araujo makes it 1-0.
  • 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 22' Duncan McGuire adds to his 0 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 27' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aime Mabika suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Alonso Coello Camarero. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Aime Mabika has done his job and it is now time for Lazar Stefanovic to step up.
  • 47' Poor challenge from Federico Bernardeschi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 52' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Mauricio Pereyra as he leaves the pitch. Ramiro Enrique steps in for Orlando City SC.
  • 62' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
  • 63' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Ayo Akinola exits the field as Ercan Kara enters on 63.
  • 68' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Ivan Angulo is withdrawn and Dagur THorhallsson gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Dagur THorhallsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 79' Toronto FC ring the changes. Facundo Torres Perez has done his job and it is now time for Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty to step up.
  • 80' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 80.
  • 84' Against the run of play, Ercan Kara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 89' Ayo Akinola has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 280 appearances.
  • It finishes all square. Orlando City SC and Toronto FC share the spoils 4-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.54 Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC59% Draw20% Toronto FC21%
Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Orlando City SC43% Draw36% Toronto FC21%
Actual: Orlando City SC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap Orlando City SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 16% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 19% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
20%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.