Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #11 |
| 14 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 23 | Scored | 22 |
| 44 | Conceded | 29 |
| -21 | GD | -7 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 27% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Exploria Stadium!
- 5' Pedro Gallese is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cesar Araujo makes it 1-0.
- 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' Duncan McGuire adds to his 0 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 27' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 32' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aime Mabika suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' Poor challenge from Alonso Coello Camarero. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Aime Mabika has done his job and it is now time for Lazar Stefanovic to step up.
- 47' Poor challenge from Federico Bernardeschi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' The crowd applauds Mauricio Pereyra as he leaves the pitch. Ramiro Enrique steps in for Orlando City SC.
- 62' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
- 63' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Ayo Akinola exits the field as Ercan Kara enters on 63.
- 68' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Ivan Angulo is withdrawn and Dagur THorhallsson gets his opportunity.
- 73' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
- 77' Against the run of play, Dagur THorhallsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' Toronto FC ring the changes. Facundo Torres Perez has done his job and it is now time for Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty to step up.
- 80' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 80.
- 84' Against the run of play, Ercan Kara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' Ayo Akinola has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 280 appearances.
- It finishes all square. Orlando City SC and Toronto FC share the spoils 4-0.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 16
- 10
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Luca Petrasso 68'
- 77
- 17
- 5
- 13
Bench
- 15
- 11
- 8
- 31
- 9
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 57'
-
20
Luca Petrasso ↑ 68'
- 95
-
23
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 68'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 14
- 28
- 27
- 18
-
6
Aime Mabika ↓ Lazar Stefanovic 46'
- 47
- 19
- 52
Bench
- 9
- 7
- 77
- 90
-
81
Themi Antonoglou ↑ 46'
- 83
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
| Jay Chapman | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2023-07-04
Orlando City SC
4–0
Toronto FC
W
2023-07-01
Orlando City SC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-06-25
Seattle Sounders FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
2023-06-21
Orlando City SC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2023-06-17
New England Revolution
3–1
Orlando City SC
L
2023-06-10
Orlando City SC
2–0
Colorado Rapids SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.54
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 19% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

