Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 30 | Scored | 24 |
| 47 | Conceded | 32 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 33% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Exploria Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Orlando City SC and Toronto FC.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Brandon Servania is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Orlando City SC so far.
- 16' Brilliant from the ! Cesar Araujo makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 16.
- 21' Robin Jansson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 12 appearances.
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Duncan McGuire gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 32' Orlando City SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Alonso Coello Camarero argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Aime Mabika departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
- 47' Poor challenge from Federico Bernardeschi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 57' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Mauricio Pereyra is replaced by Ramiro Enrique.
- 62' Federico Bernardeschi was booked on 62.
- 63' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Ayo Akinola is replaced by Ercan Kara on 63 minute.
- 68' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Dagur THorhallsson on, Ivan Angulo off on 68 minutes.
- 73' The 26-year-old Alonso Coello Camarero has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 77' Against the run of play, Dagur THorhallsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Facundo Torres Perez by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 79 minute.
- 80' A moment of madness from Raoul Petretta on 80 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 84' Assisted by Martin Ojeda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ercan Kara makes no mistake. 4-0!
- 89' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. Orlando City SC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 16
- 10
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Luca Petrasso 68'
- 77
- 17
- 5
- 13
Bench
- 15
- 11
- 8
- 31
- 9
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 57'
-
20
Luca Petrasso ↑ 68'
- 95
-
23
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 68'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 14
- 28
- 27
- 18
-
6
Aime Mabika ↓ Lazar Stefanovic 46'
- 47
- 19
- 52
Bench
- 9
- 7
- 77
- 90
-
81
Themi Antonoglou ↑ 46'
- 83
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Dagur THorhallsson | 2 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2023-07-04
Orlando City SC
4–0
Toronto FC
W
2023-07-01
Orlando City SC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2023-06-25
Seattle Sounders FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
2023-06-21
Orlando City SC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2023-06-17
New England Revolution
3–1
Orlando City SC
L
2023-06-10
Orlando City SC
2–0
Colorado Rapids SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.5
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 20% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.