Chicago Fire FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Chicago Fire FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 16 Jul 2023 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Kacper Przybylko 90' 1–0

Y 55' Raoul Petretta

Rafael Czichos 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 14 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-16 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-31 Toronto FC 0–0 Chicago Fire FC 2022-07-14 Chicago Fire FC 2–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-28 Toronto FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC 2021-10-03 Toronto FC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Toronto FC	H	1–0	W
13 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
09 Jul	Nashville SC	H	1–0	W
01 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	1–3	L
25 Jun	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–0	W
22 Jun	Portland Timbers	A	2–1	W

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
08 Jul	St. Louis City	H	0–1	L
04 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	0–4	L
01 Jul	Real Salt Lake	H	0–1	L
24 Jun	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
21 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		Toronto FC
#3	Position	#11
26	Points	14
14	Played	14
8 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 5 / 6
27	Scored	22
16	Conceded	29
+11	GD	-7
1.86	PPG	1.00
57%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/–

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Chicago Fire FC get us underway at Soldier Field.
5' Chicago Fire FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-4-2 shape.
10' A quiet spell here at Soldier Field. Chicago Fire FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Chicago Fire FC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Chicago Fire FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
25' Mauricio Pineda, a USA , has 36 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
35' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' Maren Haile-Selassie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
45' Chicago Fire FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Robin Lod scoring 1 goals.
46' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Kei Kamara comes on to replace Georgios Koutsias.
51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
52' The crowd applauds Deandre Kerr as he leaves the pitch. Alonso Coello Camarero steps in for Toronto FC.
55' That looks like a foul for a card for Raoul Petretta.
60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
63' Matt Hedges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sigurd Rosted at the 63 minute mark.
68' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Shane O'Neill is withdrawn and Brandon Servania gets his opportunity.
69' It is a substitution in Chicago Fire FC team. Raoul Petretta is replaced by Ian Torres on 69 minute.
72' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Fabian Herbers by Carlos Teran on 72 minute.
76' It’s a booking for Chicago Fire FC player. Rafael Czichos gets a card.
80' A tactical swap from Chicago Fire FC — Arnaud Souquet on, Gaston Gimenez off on 80 minutes.
85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Chicago Fire FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
89' The crowd applauds Jonathan Dean as he leaves the pitch. Kacper Przybylko steps in for Chicago Fire FC.
90' Kacper Przybylko does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Chicago Fire FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Toronto FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

9
C.J. Sapong
21
Jonathan Osorio
20
Ayo Akinola ↓ Aime Mabika 52'
28
Raoul Petretta
1
Sean Johnson
17
Sigurd Rosted ↓ Matt Hedges 63'
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Brandon Servania 68'
–
Franco Ibarra
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Alonso Coello Camarero 52'
19
Kobe Franklin

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Osorio	4
Jozy Altidore	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Jack Elliott	3
Marky Delgado	2
Pozuelo	2
Hugo Cuypers	2
Deandre Kerr	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2023-07-16 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Toronto FC W 2023-07-13 Chicago Fire FC 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-07-09 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Nashville SC W 2023-07-01 Orlando City SC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-06-25 Sporting Kansas City 0–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2023-06-22 Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago Fire FC W

Toronto FC Form

2023-07-16 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Toronto FC L 2023-07-08 Toronto FC 0–1 St. Louis City L 2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC L 2023-07-01 Toronto FC 0–1 Real Salt Lake L 2023-06-24 New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FC L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.27 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.79 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Chicago Fire FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Chicago Fire FC68% Draw20% Toronto FC12%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 3.06

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

88%

Draw or Toronto FC

32%

Chicago Fire FC or Toronto FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC50% Draw40% Toronto FC10%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.9%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

8.8%

3 – 1

0 – 0

6.2%

4 – 0

4 – 1

2 – 2

3.6%

1 – 2

3.2%

0 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	21%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	23%	31%
-0.5	69%	—	31%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.