Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sat 15 Jun 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–4 L
01 Jun D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
29 May Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
25 May FC Cincinnati H 3–4 L
18 May Montreal Impact FC H 5–1 W
16 May Nashville SC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jun Toronto FC A 4–1 W
02 Jun Los Angeles Galaxy H 2–1 W
30 May Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
25 May D.C. United SC A 1–1 D
19 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
16 May Charlotte FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#11 Position #3
14 Points 26
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
22 Scored 27
29 Conceded 16
-7 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.86
21% Win % 57%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and Chicago Fire FC get this one started.
  • 5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Raoul Petretta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Chicago Fire FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' The 26-year-old Matthew Longstaff has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Gaston Gimenez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mauricio Pineda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Maren Haile-Selassie makes it 0-1.
  • 46' The Italy Lorenzo Insigne breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-1!
  • 51' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Carlos Teran has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' Hugo Cuypers doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' Against the run of play, Mauricio Pineda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Kosi Thompson comes on to replace Sigurd Rosted.
  • 64' Toronto FC ring the changes. Deandre Kerr has done his job and it is now time for Prince-Osei Owusu to step up.
  • 68' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is withdrawn and Aime Mabika gets his opportunity.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Raoul Petretta is replaced by Cassius Mailula on 70 minute.
  • 73' Chicago Fire FC make a change. Carlos Teran trudges off to be replaced by Wyatt Omsberg on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Chicago Fire FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 84' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Hugo Cuypers is withdrawn and Georgios Koutsias gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Magnificent from Allan Arigoni! That is 1 goals in 10 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Chicago Fire FCJavier Casas on, Fabian Herbers off on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.49 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC23% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC54%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
77%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC18% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC45%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 4
3.3%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 39% 61%
+1 39% 20% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 18% 23%
+2.5 77% 23%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.