FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at Nippert Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sorin Stoica
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Jeffrey Greeson
- Referee Peter Manikowski
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Nippert Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 9' Omar Gonzalez was booked on 9.
- 14' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 19' Toronto FC have won 371 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 21' Jonathan Osorio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 21.
- 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 29' GOAL! Patrick Mullins fires home to make it 0-1!
- 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brandon Vazquez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 39' It’s high time Greg Vanney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 41' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Andrew Gutman on, Mathieu Deplagne off on 41 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Marky Delgado is replaced by Pablo Piatti.
- 51' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' Ayo Akinola needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Patrick Mullins by Ayo Akinola on 59 minute.
- 60' Nick DeLeon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jayden Nelson on 60 minute.
- 64' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Allan Cruz.
- 66' Andrew Gutman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 66.
- 67' Nick Hagglund has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 67.
- 70' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Tony Gallacher on, Richie Laryea off on 70 minutes.
- 72' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Laurent Ciman.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tony Gallacher made 409 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' FC Cincinnati make a change. Przemyslaw Tyton trudges off to be replaced by Spencer Richey on 81 minutes.
- 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 89' Laurent Ciman is replacing Pozuelo for the Toronto FC side.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 14
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Siem de Jong 46'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Allan Cruz 64'
- 12
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 46'
- 33
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 46'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 64'
-
18
Spencer Richey ↑ 81'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 41'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 96
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Pablo Piatti 46'
- 27
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Laurent Ciman 89'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↓ Ayo Akinola 59'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 70'
- 44
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↓ Nick DeLeon 60'
Bench
-
26
Laurent Ciman ↑ 89'
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↑ 46'
- 31
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 60'
- 9
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
58%
Draw or Toronto FC
66%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.