FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at Nippert Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sorin Stoica
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Jeffrey Greeson
- Referee Peter Manikowski
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 22 |
| 37 | Conceded | 29 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 9' Controversy at the stadium! Omar Gonzalez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 14' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' That is a Yellow card for Toronto FC. Jonathan Osorio will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 29' GOAL! Patrick Mullins fires home to make it 0-1!
- 34' Frankie Amaya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 39' Haris Medunjanin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 286 appearances.
- 41' Mathieu Deplagne makes way for Andrew Gutman at the 41 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 46' Pablo Piatti is replacing Marky Delgado for the Toronto FC side.
- 51' Omar Gonzalez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayo Akinola is hanging Patrick Mullins on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick DeLeon is hanging Jayden Nelson on the field on 60 minute.
- 64' Allan Cruz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alvaro Barreal at the 64 minute mark.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Andrew Gutman is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 66.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nick Hagglund.
- 70' Tony Gallacher has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richie Laryea on 70 minute.
- 72' Laurent Ciman picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 81' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Spencer Richey comes on to replace Przemyslaw Tyton.
- 86' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 89' Laurent Ciman gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Pozuelo and will look to change the dynamic.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 14
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Siem de Jong 46'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Allan Cruz 64'
- 12
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 46'
- 33
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 46'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 64'
-
18
Spencer Richey ↑ 81'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 41'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 96
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Pablo Piatti 46'
- 27
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Laurent Ciman 89'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↓ Ayo Akinola 59'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 70'
- 44
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↓ Nick DeLeon 60'
Bench
-
26
Laurent Ciman ↑ 89'
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↑ 46'
- 31
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 60'
- 9
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.92
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
58%
Draw or Toronto FC
66%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 3
4.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 17% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

