FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at Nippert Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sorin Stoica
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Jeffrey Greeson
- Referee Peter Manikowski
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Nippert Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 9' Omar Gonzalez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 9.
- 14' Haris Medunjanin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 19' FC Cincinnati have won 381 goals from 263 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jonathan Osorio on 21.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 29' Patrick Mullins adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 34' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 39' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 41' Andrew Gutman gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Mathieu Deplagne and will look to change the dynamic.
- 46' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Pablo Piatti on, Marky Delgado off on 46 minutes.
- 51' United States international Saad Abdul Salaam has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' Ayo Akinola is replacing Patrick Mullins for the Toronto FC side.
- 60' Jayden Nelson makes way for Nick DeLeon at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 64' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Alvaro Barreal by Allan Cruz on 64 minute.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andrew Gutman on 66.
- 67' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 67.
- 70' The crowd applauds Richie Laryea as he leaves the pitch. Tony Gallacher steps in for Toronto FC.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Laurent Ciman on 72 minutes.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eriq Zavaleta made 299 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' FC Cincinnati make a change. Przemyslaw Tyton trudges off to be replaced by Spencer Richey on 81 minutes.
- 86' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Marky Delgado has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' Laurent Ciman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pozuelo on 89 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toronto FC players.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 14
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Siem de Jong 46'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Allan Cruz 64'
- 12
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 46'
- 33
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 46'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 64'
-
18
Spencer Richey ↑ 81'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 41'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 96
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Pablo Piatti 46'
- 27
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Laurent Ciman 89'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↓ Ayo Akinola 59'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 70'
- 44
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↓ Nick DeLeon 60'
Bench
-
26
Laurent Ciman ↑ 89'
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↑ 46'
- 31
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 60'
- 9
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.56
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
55%
Draw or Toronto FC
70%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

