FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at Nippert Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sorin Stoica
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Jeffrey Greeson
- Referee Peter Manikowski
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Omar Gonzalez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Omar Gonzalez.
- 14' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 19' Pozuelo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 21' Jonathan Osorio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 21.
- 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 29' The United States Patrick Mullins breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 0-1!
- 34' Nick DeLeon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Liam Fraser is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 41' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Mathieu Deplagne departs to be replaced by Andrew Gutman.
- 46' The crowd applauds Marky Delgado as he leaves the pitch. Pablo Piatti steps in for Toronto FC.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' Ayo Akinola is replacing Patrick Mullins for the Toronto FC side.
- 60' Toronto FC ring the changes. Jayden Nelson has done his job and it is now time for Nick DeLeon to step up.
- 64' Allan Cruz gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Alvaro Barreal and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Andrew Gutman is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 66.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nick Hagglund.
- 70' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tony Gallacher is hanging Richie Laryea on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Laurent Ciman.
- 77' The 34-year-old Saad Abdul Salaam has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 81' FC Cincinnati make a change. Przemyslaw Tyton trudges off to be replaced by Spencer Richey on 81 minutes.
- 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Greg Vanney will be considering his options from the bench.
- 89' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Pozuelo exits the field as Laurent Ciman enters on 89.
- Toronto FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 7
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 14
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Siem de Jong 46'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Allan Cruz 64'
- 12
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 46'
- 33
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 46'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 64'
-
18
Spencer Richey ↑ 81'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 41'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 96
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Pablo Piatti 46'
- 27
-
10
Pozuelo ↓ Laurent Ciman 89'
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↓ Ayo Akinola 59'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 70'
- 44
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↓ Nick DeLeon 60'
Bench
-
26
Laurent Ciman ↑ 89'
-
7
Pablo Piatti ↑ 46'
- 31
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 60'
- 9
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
55%
Draw or Toronto FC
69%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

