Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Nashville SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 May | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -12 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 22% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Exploria Stadium as Toronto FC face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 4' What a strike from Allan Cruz! The score is 0-1.
- 5' Allan Cruz makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 25' Japan international Yuya Kubo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' The referee shows Toronto FC player a Yellow card on 33.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Yuya Kubo. He receives a Yellow card.
- 39' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Yuya Kubo on 39 minutes.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsubasa Endoh is hanging Marky Delgado on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 52' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Isaac Atanga is replaced by Nick Hagglund.
- 57' A quiet spell here at Exploria Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 60' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayo Akinola is hanging Dominic Dwyer on the field on 60 minute.
- 62' The referee has no hesitation. Ronald Matarrita is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 62.
- 63' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brenner da Silva departs to be replaced by Jurgen Locadia.
- 64' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Gustavo Vallecilla has done his job and it is now time for Caleb Stanko to step up.
- 68' Luciano Acosta has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 69' Toronto FC ring the changes. Chris Mavinga has done his job and it is now time for Ralph Priso-Mbongue to step up.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kenneth Vermeer made 327 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Allan Cruz gets a Yellow card.
- 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Allan Cruz.
- 81' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Haris Medunjanin gets his opportunity.
- 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eriq Zavaleta suffering a number of foals already.
- With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
2
Justin Morrow ↓ Kemar Lawrence 46'
- 3
- 23
- 4
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Tsubasa Endoh 46'
- 13
- 22
- 44
-
6
Dominic Dwyer ↓ Ayo Akinola 60'
Bench
-
92
Kemar Lawrence ↑ 46'
- 96
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 46'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 60'
-
24
Jacob Shaffelburg ↑ 69'
- 14
- 90
- 11
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 69'
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 25
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Haris Medunjanin 81'
- 8
- 11
- 18
- 31
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Nick Hagglund 52'
- 13
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 63'
- 15
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 64'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 81'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 52'
- 2
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 63'
- 21
- 22
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.84
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
64%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

