Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Nashville SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 May | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 17 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Exploria Stadium as Toronto FC face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 4' Allan Cruz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
- 5' Against the run of play, Allan Cruz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 10' Marky Delgado, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 30' El Salvador international Eriq Zavaleta has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Michael Bradley.
- 38' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yuya Kubo.
- 39' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Yuya Kubo gets a Yellow card.
- 44' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Marky Delgado exits the field as Tsubasa Endoh enters on 46.
- 51' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 52' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Isaac Atanga exits the field as Nick Hagglund enters on 52.
- 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jaap Stam will be considering his options from the bench.
- 60' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Ayo Akinola on, Dominic Dwyer off on 60 minutes.
- 62' Controversy at the stadium! Ronald Matarrita argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 63' Jurgen Locadia gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Brenner da Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Gustavo Vallecilla is withdrawn and Caleb Stanko gets his opportunity.
- 68' GOAL! Luciano Acosta scores on 68.
- 69' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Ralph Priso-Mbongue on, Chris Mavinga off on 69 minutes.
- 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' Allan Cruz was booked on 78.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Allan Cruz is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 79.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Haris Medunjanin. He replaces Yuya Kubo on 81 minute.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caleb Stanko, as he is very good at scoring at Exploria Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
2
Justin Morrow ↓ Kemar Lawrence 46'
- 3
- 23
- 4
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Tsubasa Endoh 46'
- 13
- 22
- 44
-
6
Dominic Dwyer ↓ Ayo Akinola 60'
Bench
-
92
Kemar Lawrence ↑ 46'
- 96
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 46'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 60'
-
24
Jacob Shaffelburg ↑ 69'
- 14
- 90
- 11
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 69'
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 25
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Haris Medunjanin 81'
- 8
- 11
- 18
- 31
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Nick Hagglund 52'
- 13
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 63'
- 15
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 64'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 81'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 52'
- 2
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 63'
- 21
- 22
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.74
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
67%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
0 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.