Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Nashville SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 May | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 67 |
| 67 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Exploria Stadium!
- 4' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Allan Cruz on 4.
- 5' Brilliant from the ! Allan Cruz makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 5.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' FC Cincinnati have won 381 goals from 264 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Justin Morrow made 300 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Chris Mavinga, a DR Congo , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' Michael Bradley was booked on 33.
- 38' That is a Yellow card for FC Cincinnati. Yuya Kubo will be fuming at that decision.
- 39' That is a Yellow card for FC Cincinnati. Yuya Kubo will be fuming at that decision.
- 44' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Jurgen Locadia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Marky Delgado departs to be replaced by Tsubasa Endoh.
- 51' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 52' Isaac Atanga makes way for Nick Hagglund at the 52 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 57' The 41-year-old Haris Medunjanin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 60' The whistle greets Dominic Dwyer as he departs to be replaced by Ayo Akinola.
- 62' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ronald Matarrita.
- 63' Jurgen Locadia gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Brenner da Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' FC Cincinnati make a change. Gustavo Vallecilla trudges off to be replaced by Caleb Stanko on 64 minutes.
- 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 69' Ralph Priso-Mbongue is replacing Chris Mavinga for the Toronto FC side.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 78' Allan Cruz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 78.
- 79' Allan Cruz picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 81' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 81 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Haris Medunjanin.
- 86' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
2
Justin Morrow ↓ Kemar Lawrence 46'
- 3
- 23
- 4
- 21
-
8
Marky Delgado ↓ Tsubasa Endoh 46'
- 13
- 22
- 44
-
6
Dominic Dwyer ↓ Ayo Akinola 60'
Bench
-
92
Kemar Lawrence ↑ 46'
- 96
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 46'
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 60'
-
24
Jacob Shaffelburg ↑ 69'
- 14
- 90
- 11
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 69'
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 25
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Haris Medunjanin 81'
- 8
- 11
- 18
- 31
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Nick Hagglund 52'
- 13
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 63'
- 15
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 64'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 81'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 52'
- 2
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 63'
- 21
- 22
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.77
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 75% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
64%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.