Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 7 Sep 2019 · 23:30 UTC HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Allen Chapman
  • Referee M. de Oliveira
  • Referee Jason White
  • Referee Victor Rivas
  • Referee
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

9
2
5
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep Toronto FC H 1–5 L
01 Sep FC Dallas A 1–3 L
25 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
17 Aug New York City FC H 1–4 L
10 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 2–2 D
04 Aug Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep FC Cincinnati A 5–1 W
31 Aug New England Revolution A 1–1 D
24 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 2–2 D
10 Aug Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
03 Aug New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#9 Position #13
33 Points 29
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
55 Scored 39
64 Conceded 51
-9 GD -12
1.27 PPG 1.07
31% Win % 22%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
  • 5' Quentin Westberg is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 10' What a moment for Patrick Mullins! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 15' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 20' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nick DeLeon makes it 0-2.
  • 23' A moment of madness from Michael Bradley on 23 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 28' Brilliant from the ! Marky Delgado makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 28.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Emmanuel Ledesma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roland Lamah on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' The crowd applauds Erickson Gallardo as he leaves the pitch. Tsubasa Endoh steps in for Toronto FC.
  • 60' Jamaica international Rashawn Dally has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 63' The deadlock is broken! Michael Bradley gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
  • 67' The whistle greets Auro as he departs to be replaced by Ashtone Morgan.
  • 71' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Nick DeLeon is withdrawn and Eriq Zavaleta gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Eriq Zavaleta.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' Fatai Alashe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
  • 85' Nicolas Benezet adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 0-5 — and this changes everything.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Eriq Zavaleta argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. Toronto FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.74 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati28% Draw21% Toronto FC51%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
49%
Draw or Toronto FC
72%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati25% Draw34% Toronto FC41%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4%
2 – 4
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 8% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 13% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 18% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 15% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.