FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Allen Chapman
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Victor Rivas
- Referee
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Toronto FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' A goal from the United States international Patrick Mullins! He fires home on 10 to make it 0-1!
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 21' Nick DeLeon is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 23' That is a Yellow card for Toronto FC. Michael Bradley will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' Assisted by Pozuelo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marky Delgado makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 33' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' The 33-year-old Nick Hagglund has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Emmanuel Ledesma is replacing Roland Lamah for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 51' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Erickson Gallardo makes way for Tsubasa Endoh at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 60' Toronto FC have won 371 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' Brilliant from the ! Michael Bradley makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 63.
- 67' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Auro is withdrawn and Ashtone Morgan gets his opportunity.
- 71' Another change for Toronto FC made on 71 minute. Nick DeLeon leaves to be changed by Eriq Zavaleta.
- 72' A moment of madness from Eriq Zavaleta on 72 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 81' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Fatai Alashe.
- 85' What composure from Nicolas Benezet! The France international strokes it home. 0-5.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Eriq Zavaleta. He receives a Red card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Toronto FC take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 36
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Emmanuel Ledesma 46'
- 14
- 4
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 71'
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 46'
- 26
- 96
Bench
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 46'
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 71'
- 32
- 19
-
45
Emmanuel Ledesma ↑ 46'
- 13
Coach
Ron Jans
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 26
- 16
-
96
Auro ↓ Ashtone Morgan 67'
- 4
- 8
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Eriq Zavaleta 71'
- 13
- 9
- 44
Bench
- 25
-
5
Ashtone Morgan ↑ 67'
-
15
Eriq Zavaleta ↑ 71'
- 3
- 17
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 55'
- 24
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.66
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
52%
Draw or Toronto FC
69%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
4.1%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 9% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 14% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 17% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 14% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.