FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Allen Chapman
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Victor Rivas
- Referee
15 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Toronto FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 10' The United States Patrick Mullins breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 0-1!
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Roland Lamah is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' What composure from Nick DeLeon! The United States international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 23' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Bradley argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 28' Marky Delgado does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 33' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 300 games and scored 397 goals.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emmanuel Ledesma is hanging Roland Lamah on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 55' Erickson Gallardo makes way for Tsubasa Endoh at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pozuelo made 327 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Magnificent from Michael Bradley! That is 8 goals in 300 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 67' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Ashtone Morgan comes on to replace Auro.
- 71' Toronto FC ring the changes. Nick DeLeon has done his job and it is now time for Eriq Zavaleta to step up.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Eriq Zavaleta. He receives a Yellow card.
- 77' FC Cincinnati have won 381 goals from 264 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 81' Fatai Alashe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
- 85' Goal! Nicolas Benezet scores his 14 goal in 428 matches.
- 88' It’s gonna be a Red card for Eriq Zavaleta.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 1-5 Toronto FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 36
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Emmanuel Ledesma 46'
- 14
- 4
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 71'
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 46'
- 26
- 96
Bench
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 46'
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 71'
- 32
- 19
-
45
Emmanuel Ledesma ↑ 46'
- 13
Coach
Ron Jans
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 26
- 16
-
96
Auro ↓ Ashtone Morgan 67'
- 4
- 8
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Eriq Zavaleta 71'
- 13
- 9
- 44
Bench
- 25
-
5
Ashtone Morgan ↑ 67'
-
15
Eriq Zavaleta ↑ 71'
- 3
- 17
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 55'
- 24
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.96
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
50%
Draw or Toronto FC
72%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
3.9%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 18% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 15% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

