FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Allen Chapman
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Victor Rivas
- Referee
11 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
- 5' Quentin Westberg is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 10' What a moment for Patrick Mullins! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
- 15' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 20' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nick DeLeon makes it 0-2.
- 23' A moment of madness from Michael Bradley on 23 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Marky Delgado makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 28.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Emmanuel Ledesma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roland Lamah on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' The crowd applauds Erickson Gallardo as he leaves the pitch. Tsubasa Endoh steps in for Toronto FC.
- 60' Jamaica international Rashawn Dally has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Michael Bradley gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 67' The whistle greets Auro as he departs to be replaced by Ashtone Morgan.
- 71' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Nick DeLeon is withdrawn and Eriq Zavaleta gets his opportunity.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Eriq Zavaleta.
- 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' Fatai Alashe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
- 85' Nicolas Benezet adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 0-5 — and this changes everything.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Eriq Zavaleta argues furiously but the Red card stands.
- FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. Toronto FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 36
- 22
-
7
Roland Lamah ↓ Emmanuel Ledesma 46'
- 14
- 4
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 71'
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Darren Mattocks 46'
- 26
- 96
Bench
- 6
-
11
Darren Mattocks ↑ 46'
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 71'
- 32
- 19
-
45
Emmanuel Ledesma ↑ 46'
- 13
Coach
Ron Jans
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 26
- 16
-
96
Auro ↓ Ashtone Morgan 67'
- 4
- 8
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Eriq Zavaleta 71'
- 13
- 9
- 44
Bench
- 25
-
5
Ashtone Morgan ↑ 67'
-
15
Eriq Zavaleta ↑ 71'
- 3
- 17
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↑ 55'
- 24
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.74
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
49%
Draw or Toronto FC
72%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4%
2 – 4
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 8% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 18% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

