Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Sun 3 Oct 2021 · 20:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Toronto FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep New York City FC H 2–0 W
26 Sep Nashville SC H 0–0 D
23 Sep New England Revolution H 2–3 L
19 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
15 Sep D.C. United SC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#12 Position #4
17 Points 29
18 Played 17
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 6
24 Scored 32
32 Conceded 23
-8 GD +9
0.94 PPG 1.71
17% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC51% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC26%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
49%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw41% Chicago Fire FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.