Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Sun 3 Oct 2021 · 20:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Toronto FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep New York City FC H 2–0 W
26 Sep Nashville SC H 0–0 D
23 Sep New England Revolution H 2–3 L
19 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
15 Sep D.C. United SC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#11 Position #3
14 Points 26
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
22 Scored 27
29 Conceded 16
-7 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.86
21% Win % 57%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.9 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC49% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC28%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
51%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC33% Draw40% Chicago Fire FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.