Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Sun 25 Jul 2021 · 00:00 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul Toronto FC H 1–2 L
22 Jul D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
18 Jul Nashville SC A 1–5 L
08 Jul Orlando City SC H 3–1 W
04 Jul Atlanta United FC H 3–0 W
27 Jun Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul Chicago Fire FC A 2–1 W
21 Jul New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
17 Jul Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
07 Jul New England Revolution A 3–2 W
03 Jul D.C. United SC A 1–7 L
26 Jun FC Cincinnati H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC Toronto FC
#3 Position #11
26 Points 14
14 Played 14
8 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
27 Scored 22
16 Conceded 29
+11 GD -7
1.86 PPG 1.00
57% Win % 21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.43 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC49% Draw23% Toronto FC28%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Toronto FC
51%
Chicago Fire FC or Toronto FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC42% Draw37% Toronto FC21%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
4 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 20% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.