Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tokyo Verdy to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 95 games and scored 82 goals.
- 6' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shuto Nakano on 6.
- 11' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Itsuki Someno on 12.
- 17' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 22' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroto Taniguchi on 28.
- 33' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' The whistle greets Valere Germain as he departs to be replaced by Ryo Germain.
- 51' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayao Kawabe suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Kinoshita departs to be replaced by Hayao Kawabe.
- 62' GOAL! Sota Nakamura scores on 62. Assisted by Ryo Germain
- 66' Yuan Matsuhashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Fukuda on 66 minute.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 77' The whistle greets Itsuki Someno as he departs to be replaced by Ryosuke Shirai.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rei Hirakawa on 80.
- 83' Goal! Naoto Arai scores his 14 goal in 369 matches.
- 86' Shoji Toyama is replacing Ryota Inoue for the Tokyo Verdy side.
- 87' The whistle greets Sota Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Marcos Junior.
- Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Tokyo Verdy
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 14
- 6
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 20
- 40
- 5
Bench
- 38
- 37
- 19
- 21
- 17
- 27
- 25
- 71
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Ryo Germain 46'
- 1
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Hayao Kawabe 60'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 87'
- 15
- 35
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Marcos Junior 87'
-
37
Ju-sung Kim ↓ Shunki Higashi 77'
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
-
9
Ryo Germain ↑ 46'
- 3
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 60'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 77'
- 41
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 87'
- 51
- 38
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-08-23
Tokyo Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Tokyo Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

