Thursday , 2 July 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–3 L
16 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
09 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
20 Jul FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
05 Jul Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
29 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Tokyo Verdy A 3–0 W
20 Aug Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
16 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
10 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#15 Position #4
28 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
29 Scored 41
32 Conceded 33
-3 GD +8
1.56 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tokyo Verdy to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 95 games and scored 82 goals.
  • 6' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shuto Nakano on 6.
  • 11' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Itsuki Someno on 12.
  • 17' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 22' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroto Taniguchi on 28.
  • 33' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The whistle greets Valere Germain as he departs to be replaced by Ryo Germain.
  • 51' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayao Kawabe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Kinoshita departs to be replaced by Hayao Kawabe.
  • 62' GOAL! Sota Nakamura scores on 62. Assisted by Ryo Germain
  • 66' Yuan Matsuhashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Fukuda on 66 minute.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' The whistle greets Itsuki Someno as he departs to be replaced by Ryosuke Shirai.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rei Hirakawa on 80.
  • 83' Goal! Naoto Arai scores his 14 goal in 369 matches.
  • 86' Shoji Toyama is replacing Ryota Inoue for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 87' The whistle greets Sota Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Marcos Junior.
  • Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Tokyo Verdy

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy20% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima56%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Tokyo Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy15% Draw43% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
15%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.