Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 05:05 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo VerdyJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
08 Dec Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Albirex Niigata is hosting Tokyo Verdy for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Tokyo Verdy is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yudai Kimura on 10.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Taiki Arai.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Vidotto, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hijiri Onaga made 188 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' What a strike from Motoki Hasegawa! The score is 1-1.
  • 45' The referee shows Tokyo Verdy player a card on 45.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hayato Inamura on 53.
  • 54' Hiroto Yamami is replacing Itsuki Someno for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 58' Michael Fitzgerald puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Kazuya Miyahara by Soma Meshino on 69 minute.
  • 74' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' What a strike from Yuto Tsunashima! The score is 2-2.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Jin Okumura. He replaces Ken Yamura on 76 minute.
  • 81' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 83' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Shusuke Ota by Danilo on 83 minute.
  • 86' The whistle greets Kaito Taniguchi as he departs to be replaced by Riku Ochiai.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Yuto Tsunashima is replaced by Kaito Suzuki.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata40% Draw27% Tokyo Verdy33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
67%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
60%
Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw45% Tokyo Verdy26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Tokyo Verdy covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
25%
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.