Thursday , 1 October 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 05:05 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
08 Dec Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Shusuke Ota is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Yudai Kimura gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' A moment of madness from Taiki Arai on 19 minutes earns him a card. Albirex Niigata will be frustrated.
  • 24' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Tokyo Verdy are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' Taiki Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' What a strike from Motoki Hasegawa! The score is 1-1.
  • 45' Yuta Arai was booked on 45.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' Hayato Inamura was booked on 53.
  • 54' The Tokyo Verdy bench stirs into life. Itsuki Someno is withdrawn and Hiroto Yamami gets his opportunity.
  • 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Michael Fitzgerald makes it 2-1.
  • 63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 69' Tokyo Verdy make a change. Kazuya Miyahara trudges off to be replaced by Soma Meshino on 69 minutes.
  • 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 75' Yuto Tsunashima makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Tokyo Verdy are in front.
  • 76' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Ken Yamura departs to be replaced by Jin Okumura.
  • 81' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 83' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Shusuke Ota exits the field as Danilo enters on 83.
  • 86' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Kaito Taniguchi by Riku Ochiai on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Riku Ochiai. He receives a card.
  • 90' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaito Suzuki is hanging Yuto Tsunashima on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata40% Draw27% Tokyo Verdy33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
67%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
60%
Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw45% Tokyo Verdy26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Tokyo Verdy covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.