Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 46 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ajinomoto Stadium that hosts another battle between Tokyo Verdy and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' Tokyo Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 8' Tokyo Verdy is taking the lead after the goal scored by Itsuki Someno on 8.
- 13' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 23' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 28' It looks surprising Tokyo Verdy does not make any changes. Masaya Matsumoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Tokyo Verdy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 37' What a strike from Ataru Esaka! The score is 1-1.
- 42' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
- 45' The referee shows Fagiano Okayama FC player a card on 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Yuta Arai is replaced by Yuya Fukuda on 46 minute.
- 48' Sensational shot from Kazunari Ichimi. Fagiano Okayama FC is back in the lead.
- 49' Goal! Hayato Hirao scores his 1 goal in 95 matches.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Naoki Hayashi made 447 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Lucao has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 63' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroto Iwabuchi is hanging Ataru Esaka on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 69' What a strike from Yuya Fukuda! The score is 3-2.
- 73' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Werik is hanging Hijiri Kato on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Yosuke Uchida. He replaces Yuan Matsuhashi on 74 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Hayato Hirao is replaced by Shoji Toyama on 76 minute.
- 81' Haruka Motoyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuta Kamiya on 81 minute.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroto Taniguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 6 goals in the last 4 games.
- 88' Goal! Hiroto Taniguchi scores his 8 goal in 95 matches.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-2.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 19
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 40
- 71
Bench
- 14
- 38
- 15
- 21
- 20
- 17
- 25
- 26
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 63'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Haruka Motoyama 81'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Werik 73'
- 27
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 81'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 63'
- 3
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuto Tsunashima | 1 |
| Yuya Fukuda | 1 |
| Itsuki Someno | 1 |
| Hiroto Taniguchi | 1 |
| Hayato Hirao | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
76%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
45%
Tokyo Verdy or Fagiano Okayama FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.