Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 46 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 8' Itsuki Someno doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' Yoshitake Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 437 appearances.
- 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 23' The 29-year-old Yuta Kamiya has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroto Taniguchi made 95 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' Ataru Esaka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' Yoshitake Suzuki catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Yuya Fukuda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuta Arai on 46 minute.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Kazunari Ichimi gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 49' Brilliant from the ! Hayato Hirao makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 45.
- 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Tokyo Verdy and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 63' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi on 63 minute.
- 68' It is a cagey affair so far. Tokyo Verdy in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 69' GOAL! Yuya Fukuda fires home to make it 3-2!
- 73' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Werik comes on to replace Hijiri Kato.
- 74' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Yuan Matsuhashi is replaced by Yosuke Uchida on 74 minute.
- 76' The Tokyo Verdy manager makes a substitution. Hayato Hirao departs to be replaced by Shoji Toyama.
- 81' Yuta Kamiya makes way for Haruka Motoyama at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tokyo Verdy and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hiroto Taniguchi makes it 4-2.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 19
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 40
- 71
Bench
- 14
- 38
- 15
- 21
- 20
- 17
- 25
- 26
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 63'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Haruka Motoyama 81'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Werik 73'
- 27
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 81'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 63'
- 3
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Taniguchi | 1 |
| Hayato Hirao | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Yuto Tsunashima | 1 |
| Yuya Fukuda | 1 |
| Itsuki Someno | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
76%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
45%
Tokyo Verdy or Fagiano Okayama FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.