Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 46 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium!
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Tokyo Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 8' A stunning finish from Itsuki Someno — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takahiro Yanagi suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Hayato Hirao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 28' It looks surprising Tokyo Verdy does not make any changes. Daichi Tagami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Tokyo Verdy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 37' GOAL! Ataru Esaka fires home to make it 1-1!
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Poor challenge from Yoshitake Suzuki. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' A change in the Tokyo Verdy ranks — Yuta Arai exits the field as Yuya Fukuda enters on 46.
- 48' GOAL! Kazunari Ichimi fires home to make it 1-2!
- 49' Brilliant from the ! Hayato Hirao makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 45.
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 63' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 68' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 69' Yuya Fukuda is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 73' The crowd applauds Hijiri Kato as he leaves the pitch. Werik steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Yosuke Uchida. He replaces Yuan Matsuhashi on 74 minute.
- 76' The crowd applauds Hayato Hirao as he leaves the pitch. Shoji Toyama steps in for Tokyo Verdy.
- 81' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Yuta Kamiya trudges off to be replaced by Haruka Motoyama on 81 minutes.
- 86' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 88' A goal from the Japan international Hiroto Taniguchi! He fires home on 88 to make it 4-2!
- The points are shared — Tokyo Verdy 4-2 Fagiano Okayama FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 19
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 40
- 71
Bench
- 14
- 38
- 15
- 21
- 20
- 17
- 25
- 26
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 63'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Haruka Motoyama 81'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Werik 73'
- 27
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 81'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 63'
- 3
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Hirao | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Yuto Tsunashima | 1 |
| Yuya Fukuda | 1 |
| Itsuki Someno | 1 |
| Hiroto Taniguchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
76%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
45%
Tokyo Verdy or Fagiano Okayama FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.