Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 12:00 UTC Holstein-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin

Head-to-Head

3
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Hamburger SV H 4–2 W
04 Nov VfL Osnabruck A 1–1 D
01 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg H 6–7 L
29 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg H 0–2 L
22 Oct FC Hansa Rostock A 3–1 W
08 Oct SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
04 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
31 Oct Arminia Bielefeld A 5–4 W
28 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 3–3 D
21 Oct SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 2–0 W
07 Oct SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel50% Draw22% Hamburger SV28%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
50%
Holstein Kiel or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel39% Draw36% Hamburger SV25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 18% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.