Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Nov | VfL Osnabrück | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 6–7 | L |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Hansa Rostock | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 04 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 5–4 | W |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Holstein-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Assisted by Lewis Holtby with the perfectly-timed delivery and Steven Skrzybski makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 25' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' It’s high time Tim Walter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Dennis Hadzikadunic.
- 36' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' A moment of madness from Jonas Meffert on 44 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
- 49' Immanuel Pherai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
- 54' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 57' A stunning finish from Benedikt Pichler — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 61' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. William Mikelbrencis is replaced by Ransford Konigsdorffer on 61 minute.
- 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 67' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 67 minute. Steven Skrzybski leaves to be changed by Jonas Sterner.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Benedikt Pichler argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' Lukasz Poreba gets the nod from Hamburger SV. He replaces Immanuel Pherai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' What composure from Robert Glatzel! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 74' Moritz Heyer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guilherme Ramos on 74 minute.
- 75' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Marvin Schulz is replaced by Finn Porath.
- 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Robert Glatzel makes it 2-2.
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Philipp Sander.
- 83' Finn Porath puts Holstein Kiel on the lead.
- 85' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Benedikt Pichler is withdrawn and Nicolai Remberg gets his opportunity.
- 88' Goal! Jonas Sterner scores his 5 goal in 286 matches.
- It finishes all square. Holstein Kiel and Hamburger SV share the spoils 4-2.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 7
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Finn Porath 75'
- 16
- 1
- 9
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Tom Rothe 67'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 13
- 19
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 75'
-
32
Jonas Sterner ↑ 67'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↑ 67'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 8
- 1
- 9
- 5
-
27
Jean-Luc Dompe ↓ Andras Nemeth 61'
- 28
-
13
Guilherme Ramos ↓ Moritz Heyer 74'
-
10
Immanuel Pherai ↓ Lukasz Poreba 69'
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
3
Moritz Heyer ↑ 74'
-
20
Andras Nemeth ↑ 61'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 61'
- 19
- 46
- 37
-
6
Lukasz Poreba ↑ 69'
- 48
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Jonas Sterner | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
50%
Holstein Kiel or Hamburger SV
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.