Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
16 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Nov | VfL Osnabruck | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 6–7 | L |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Hansa Rostock | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 04 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 5–4 | W |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Philipp Sander has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Jonas Meffert has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' GOAL! Steven Skrzybski scores on 20. Assisted by Lewis Holtby
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean-Luc Dompe, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dennis Hadzikadunic on 31.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 41' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 44' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 44.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
- 54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
- 57' Goal! Benedikt Pichler scores his 10 goal in 4 matches.
- 61' Ransford Konigsdorffer has so much to prove this time. He replaces William Mikelbrencis on 61 minute.
- 66' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 67' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonas Sterner is hanging Steven Skrzybski on the field on 67 minute.
- 68' Benedikt Pichler was booked on 68.
- 69' The whistle greets Immanuel Pherai as he departs to be replaced by Lukasz Poreba.
- 71' What a strike from Robert Glatzel! The score is 2-1.
- 74' Moritz Heyer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guilherme Ramos on 74 minute.
- 75' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 75 minute. Marvin Schulz leaves to be changed by Finn Porath.
- 80' Goal! Robert Glatzel scores his 57 goal in 280 matches.
- 81' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Goal! Finn Porath scores his 8 goal in 277 matches.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Nicolai Remberg. He replaces Benedikt Pichler on 85 minute.
- 88' GOAL! Jonas Sterner scores on 88.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 7
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Finn Porath 75'
- 16
- 1
- 9
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Tom Rothe 67'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 13
- 19
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 75'
-
32
Jonas Sterner ↑ 67'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↑ 67'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 8
- 1
- 9
- 5
-
27
Jean-Luc Dompe ↓ Andras Nemeth 61'
- 28
-
13
Guilherme Ramos ↓ Moritz Heyer 74'
-
10
Immanuel Pherai ↓ Lukasz Poreba 69'
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
3
Moritz Heyer ↑ 74'
-
20
Andras Nemeth ↑ 61'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 61'
- 19
- 46
- 37
-
6
Lukasz Poreba ↑ 69'
- 48
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Jonas Sterner | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
50%
Holstein Kiel or Hamburger SV
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

