Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Nov | VfL Osnabrück | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 6–7 | L |
| 29 Oct | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FC Hansa Rostock | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 04 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 5–4 | W |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Holstein-Stadion!
- 5' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' A goal from the Germany international Steven Skrzybski! He fires home on 20 to make it 1-0!
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dennis Hadzikadunic on 31 minutes.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and Hamburger SV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 41' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 44' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 44.
- 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 54' Holstein Kiel currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' What a strike from Benedikt Pichler! The score is 2-0.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Ransford Konigsdorffer. He replaces William Mikelbrencis on 61 minute.
- 66' Hamburger SV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 67' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Steven Skrzybski is replaced by Jonas Sterner.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Benedikt Pichler on 68.
- 69' Hamburger SV make a change. Immanuel Pherai trudges off to be replaced by Lukasz Poreba on 69 minutes.
- 71' What a strike from Robert Glatzel! The score is 2-1.
- 74' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Guilherme Ramos is replaced by Moritz Heyer.
- 75' The crowd applauds Marvin Schulz as he leaves the pitch. Finn Porath steps in for Holstein Kiel.
- 80' Robert Glatzel with the second goal in the match!
- 81' Poor challenge from Philipp Sander. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 83' Finn Porath makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
- 85' Benedikt Pichler makes way for Nicolai Remberg at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
- 88' What a strike from Jonas Sterner! The score is 4-2.
- Holstein Kiel celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 7
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Finn Porath 75'
- 16
- 1
- 9
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Tom Rothe 67'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 13
- 19
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 75'
-
32
Jonas Sterner ↑ 67'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↑ 67'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 8
- 1
- 9
- 5
-
27
Jean-Luc Dompe ↓ Andras Nemeth 61'
- 28
-
13
Guilherme Ramos ↓ Moritz Heyer 74'
-
10
Immanuel Pherai ↓ Lukasz Poreba 69'
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
3
Moritz Heyer ↑ 74'
-
20
Andras Nemeth ↑ 61'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 61'
- 19
- 46
- 37
-
6
Lukasz Poreba ↑ 69'
- 48
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Jonas Sterner | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
50%
Holstein Kiel or Hamburger SV
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.