Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Lubeck vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Mon 14 Aug 2023 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Lohmuhle HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Lubeck vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimDFB-Pokal at Stadion Lohmuhle.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Lechner

Head-to-Head

1
VfB Lubeck 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–4 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
30 Jul FC Hansa Rostock H 1–0 W
11 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug VfB Lubeck A 4–1 W
27 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
20 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
13 May VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
06 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–1 W
29 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get us underway at Stadion Lohmuhle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Lubeck and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadion Lohmuhle. VfB Lubeck seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Lubeck that had 5 games and scored 5 goals.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' What composure from Tarik Gozusirin! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' A stunning finish from Andrej Kramaric — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Ozan Kabak trudges off to be replaced by Attila Szalai on 46 minutes.
  • 51' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andrej Kramaric makes it 1-2.
  • 61' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Grischa Promel is replaced by Julian Justvan on 61 minute.
  • 62' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Kevin Vogt trudges off to be replaced by Ihlas Bebou on 62 minutes.
  • 67' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Lubeck in their trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact .
  • 69' What a moment for Marius Bulter! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 69' A tactical swap from VfB LubeckKimmo Hovi on, Ulrich Taffertshofer off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Lubeck must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 75' What a strike from Julian Justvan! The score is 1-4.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Florian Grillitsch as he leaves the pitch. Finn Ole Becker steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 80' Time for substitution for VfB Lubeck. Tarik Gozusirin is replaced by Jan Schneider.
  • 85' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Manuel Farrona-Pulido is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 VfB Lubeck xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Lubeck25% Draw25% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim50%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

VfB Lubeck or Draw
50%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%
VfB Lubeck or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Lubeck19% Draw41% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — VfB Lubeck

Handicap VfB Lubeck covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

VfB Lubeck keeps clean sheet
14%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.