Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sydney FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Jake Rose (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Melbourne Victory FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb Auckland FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Sydney FC A 1–0 W
28 Feb Auckland FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 1–3 L
07 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D
24 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–6 L

Season Stats

Sydney FC Melbourne City FC
#5 Position #6
39 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
33 Scored 33
25 Conceded 33
+8 GD +0
1.50 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Melbourne City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC36% Draw30% Melbourne City FC34%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
64%
Sydney FC or Melbourne City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC27% Draw49% Melbourne City FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.