Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Watford FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Watford FC H 1–1 D
16 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
03 May Oxford United FC H 3–3 D
26 Apr Millwall FC A 0–1 L
21 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
16 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
09 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L
03 May Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Watford FC
#11 Position #16
64 Points 57
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
57 Scored 53
59 Conceded 65
-2 GD -12
1.39 PPG 1.24
39% Win % 30%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Watford FC gets underway.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC44% Draw29% Watford FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Watford FC
56%
Swansea City AFC or Watford FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC30% Draw51% Watford FC19%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
38%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.