Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 39,017 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jobe Bellingham 40' 1–0
Wilson Isidor 55' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Sunderland AFC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Sep Watford FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Portsmouth FC A 3–1 W
24 Aug Burnley FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sunderland AFC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 10' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Corey Blackett-Taylor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 365 appearances.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kayden Jackson made 366 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Marcus Harness.
  • 40' Jobe Bellingham doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sunderland AFC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Goal! Wilson Isidor scores his 39 goal in 429 matches.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a card for Chris Mepham.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Craig Forsyth. He replaces Tawanda Chirewa on 65 minute.
  • 66' Derby County FC make a change. Marcus Harness trudges off to be replaced by Kayden Jackson on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Eiran Cashin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Alan Browne. He replaces Chris Rigg on 74 minute.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Tom Watson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ian Poveda on 85 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Kenzo Goudmijn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Sunderland AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 65% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC60% Draw26% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Sunderland AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw51% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 27% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.