Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 39,017 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jobe Bellingham 40' 1–0
Wilson Isidor 55' 2–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Sunderland AFC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Sep Watford FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Portsmouth FC A 3–1 W
24 Aug Burnley FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadium of Light as Sunderland AFC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Sunderland AFC is showing some good football. However, Sunderland AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sunderland AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 36' Marcus Harness catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 40' Sunderland AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jobe Bellingham on 40.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 55' A goal from the Haiti international Wilson Isidor! He fires home on 55 to make it 2-0!
  • 59' Chris Mepham was booked on 59.
  • 64' Sunderland AFC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 5-4-1 shape.
  • 65' Craig Forsyth is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tawanda Chirewa at the 65 minute mark.
  • 66' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kayden Jackson is hanging Marcus Harness on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Chris Rigg exits the field as Alan Browne enters on 74.
  • 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Sunderland AFC. Ian Poveda is replaced by Tom Watson.
  • 89' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. Sunderland AFC and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 65% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC60% Draw26% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Sunderland AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw51% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 27% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
57%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.