Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Wed 21 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC 2025-09-30 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–2	L
17 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	0–0	D
10 Jan	Coventry City FC	H	1–0	W
04 Jan	Norwich City FC	A	2–0	W
01 Jan	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
29 Dec	Sheffield United FC	H	1–2	L

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Stoke City FC	A	2–1	W
16 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–2	W
10 Jan	Fulham FC	A	1–3	L
04 Jan	Southampton FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jan	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#3	Position	#2
29	Points	29
15	Played	15
9 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	8 / 5 / 2
24	Scored	30
18	Conceded	19
+6	GD	+11
1.93	PPG	1.93
60%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

5/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/4

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear	13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry	3 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Britt Assombalonga	1
Nick Powell	1
Hayden Hackney	1
Phil Jagielka	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-17 Stoke City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2026-01-10 Stoke City FC 1–0 Coventry City FC W 2026-01-04 Norwich City FC 0–2 Stoke City FC W 2026-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC L

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-16 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-10 Fulham FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC W 2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.34 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC33% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC39%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

67%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC25% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC29%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

7.8%

0 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 0

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	18%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	20%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.