Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Wed 21 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC 2025-09-30 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–2	L
17 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	0–0	D
10 Jan	Coventry City FC	H	1–0	W
04 Jan	Norwich City FC	A	2–0	W
01 Jan	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
29 Dec	Sheffield United FC	H	1–2	L

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Stoke City FC	A	2–1	W
16 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–2	W
10 Jan	Fulham FC	A	1–3	L
04 Jan	Southampton FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jan	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#7	Position	#3
13	Points	15
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 1
13	Scored	16
12	Conceded	12
+1	GD	+4
1.63	PPG	1.88
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/4

61-75

3/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Ethan Galbraith	4 G	1 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear

6 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Middlesbrough FC take all three points.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Grant Hall	1
Mehdi Leris	1
Paddy McNair	1
Michael Rose	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-17 Stoke City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2026-01-10 Stoke City FC 1–0 Coventry City FC W 2026-01-04 Norwich City FC 0–2 Stoke City FC W 2026-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC L

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-16 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-10 Fulham FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC W 2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC34% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC39%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

66%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC26% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC31%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

6.1%

0 – 2

5.8%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.8%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.