Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Wed 21 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC 2025-09-30 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–2	L
17 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	0–0	D
10 Jan	Coventry City FC	H	1–0	W
04 Jan	Norwich City FC	A	2–0	W
01 Jan	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
29 Dec	Sheffield United FC	H	1–2	L

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Jan	Stoke City FC	A	2–1	W
16 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–2	W
10 Jan	Fulham FC	A	1–3	L
04 Jan	Southampton FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jan	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#17	Position	#5
55	Points	80
46	Played	46
15 / 10 / 21	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
51	Scored	72
56	Conceded	47
-5	GD	+25
1.20	PPG	1.74
33%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duncan Watmore	2
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Marcus Forss	1
Sam Clucas	1
Jacob Brown	1
Finn Azaz	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-17 Stoke City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2026-01-10 Stoke City FC 1–0 Coventry City FC W 2026-01-04 Norwich City FC 0–2 Stoke City FC W 2026-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC L

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-01-21 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-16 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-10 Fulham FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC W 2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.06 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC29% Draw30% Middlesbrough FC41%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

71%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC20% Draw49% Middlesbrough FC31%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 1

10.9%

0 – 0

10.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.2%

1 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

4.6%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.8%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	16%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	22%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.